Prospects fighting for an NHL Spot this year

Forums/Armchair-GM

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Created by: AStovetop

Team: 2024-25 San Jose Sharks

Initial Creation Date: Jun. 5, 2024

Published: Jun. 5, 2024

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Wanted to categorize some Sharks prospects by the likeliness of playing in the NHL next season. This is just with the assumption that said player is signed. So Lund and Havelid are unsigned currently but they have a decent chance of signing so I included them. I've also sorted them by most-to-least likely within their group/column.

Tried to keep it simple, but there's also a lot of nuance that I could go into.
- For instance I think it's extremely likely that Musty will get his 9 games, so I guess you could put him in column one, but I don't think it's very likely he'll play 25+ games.
- I think there's also quite a few players where their fates are very dependent on their training camps. Those guys I would say are more bottom of the lineup grinders like Wiesblatt, Pulli, and Cardwell (who I think is one of the Sharks most interesting prospects)
- Prospects that aren't shown here, either are very unlikely to have a shot to crack the lineup in any fashion or are very unlikely to sign (NCAA and Russian)

Free Agent Signings

RESERVE LIST		YEARS	CAP HIT
Hävelid, Mattias		2	$800,000
Lund, Cameron		2	$800,000

RFA		YEARS	CAP HIT
Bordeleau, Thomas		1	$1,200,000

CREATED	YEARS	CAP HIT
Celebrini, Macklin	3	$925,000
Likely, Making NHL	1	$1,000,000
Fighting, For a Spot	1	$1,000,000
Fighting, For a Spot	1	$1,000,000
Sleeper Prospects, But Unlikely	1	$1,000,000

Buyouts

Martin Jones: $1,666,667

Retained Salary Transactions

Brent Burns: $2,720,000 (34%)
Erik Karlsson: $1,500,000 (13.04%)
Tomas Hertl: $1,387,500 (17.05%)

Buried

Fabian Zetterlund: $300,000 ($1,450,000)
Logan Couture: $6,850,000 ($8,000,000)
Nikolai Knyzhov: $100,000 ($1,250,000)
Nico Sturm: $850,000 ($2,000,000)
Mackenzie Blackwood: $1,200,000 ($2,350,000)
Mikael Granlund: $3,850,000 ($5,000,000)
Klim Kostin: $850,000 ($2,000,000)
Vitek Vanecek: $2,250,000 ($3,400,000)
Mario Ferraro: $2,100,000 ($3,250,000)
Marc-Édouard Vlasic: $5,850,000 ($7,000,000)
Jan Rutta: $1,600,000 ($2,750,000)
Matthew Benning: $100,000 ($1,250,000)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
24	$87,700,000	$55,059,999	$0	$4,510,000	$32,640,001

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Likely, Making NHL $1,000,000$1,000,000	Fighting, For a Spot $1,000,000$1,000,000	Sleeper Prospects, But Unlikely $1,000,000$1,000,000
Celebrini, Macklin $925,000$925,000	Musty, Quentin $918,333$918,333 LW RFA - 3	Pulli, Valtteri $950,000$950,000 LD RFA - 1
Bordeleau, Thomas $1,200,000$1,200,000 C, LW RFA	Graf, Collin $941,667$941,667 ($500,000$500K) RW, C RFA - 2	Lund, Cameron $800,000$800,000 C RFA
Gushchin, Daniil $828,333$828,333 ($57,500$58K) LW RFA - 1	Thompson, Jack $828,333$828,333 ($57,500$58K) RD RFA - 1	Edstrom, David $918,333$918,333 C RFA - 3
Mukhamadullin, Shakir $894,167$894,167 ($400,000$400K) LD RFA - 1	Cardwell, Ethan $867,500$867,500 ($57,500$58K) RW RFA - 2	Furlong, Jake $841,667$841,667 ($12,500$12K) LD RFA - 3
Smith, Will $950,000$950,000 ($3,200,000$3M) C RFA - 3	Cagnoni, Luca $895,000$895,000 ($80,000$80K) LD RFA - 3	Hävelid, Mattias $800,000$800,000 RD RFA
	Bystedt, Filip $918,333$918,333 C RFA - 3
	Wiesblatt, Ozzy $835,833$835,833 RW RFA - 1
	Robins, Tristen $797,500$797,500 ($57,500$58K) C RFA - 1
	Halttunen, Kasper $908,333$908,333 ($30,000$30K) RW RFA - 3

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
		Fighting, For a Spot $1,000,000$1,000,000
		Chrona, Magnus $867,500$867,500 ($57,500$58K) G RFA - 1

Jun. 5 at 7:43 p.m.

Rob32sjsharks

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 11,786

Likes: 4,949

I for the most part agree!
I would have added a category for good prospect but not near NHL ready yet.

Sjbackseatgm liked this.

Jun. 5 at 7:49 p.m.

Sjbackseatgm

Joined: Jan. 2023

Posts: 837

Likes: 293

Quoting: Rob32sjsharks

I for the most part agree!
I would have added a category for good prospect but not near NHL ready yet.

Yea great list! Might move Musty to likely but I guess we will find out in a few months

Jun. 5 at 7:53 p.m.

newman23

Joined: Jun. 2018

Posts: 1,359

Likes: 756

Is graf not basically a lock? I thought he looked pretty good the couple games he played for you guys

Jun. 5 at 7:59 p.m.

sharksdoee

sharks88

Joined: Jul. 2019

Posts: 431

Likes: 215

Hopefully Shakir makes it. Would like to see what he can do on PP1. He's impressed plenty with the cuda.

Jun. 5 at 8:07 p.m.

Rob32sjsharks

Joined: Apr. 2020

Posts: 11,786

Likes: 4,949

I guess my one comment would be no Prospects are a lock!
They need to earn it so I would have, almost a lock, need to earn their time, not quite ready but we will see in camp, needs more development, and not close but keep an eye on em.

Jun. 5 at 9:15 p.m.

Letsgosharks

Joined: Feb. 2021

Posts: 1,797

Likes: 1,015

good post!!

Jun. 6 at 1:15 a.m.

RecycleShark

Joined: Jul. 2023

Posts: 1,595

Likes: 468

Nice concept!

I assume Thrun and Emberson are no longer considered prospects?

I'd put Bords and Gush in "Fighting"

Jun. 6 at 1:30 a.m.

jamnjon

Joined: Jan. 2017

Posts: 583

Likes: 304

I'd move Cagnoni to sleeper but unlikely. I think he might go to the AHL but I think he's a long shot to actually make the NHL next year. In the long run I'm hopeful about him, just not next year.

Quoting: newman23

Is graf not basically a lock? I thought he looked pretty good the couple games he played for you guys

I don't think he's basically a lock. The team has a lot of players competing for the spots and they still need to spend around 15M just to hit the floor so they're likely to get more. If Couture's healthy and Macklin comes out you have Couture, Granlund, Zetterlund, Eklund, Sturm, Celebrini, Kunin (sounds like he's getting re-signed), Smith, and probably Kostin. That's 8-9 out of 12 spots taken up before factoring in players acquired to hit the floor.

newman23 liked this.

Jun. 6 at 11:07 a.m.

AStovetop

Thread Starter

Stovetop

Joined: Jul. 2017

Posts: 2,496

Likes: 1,131

Quoting: newman23

Is graf not basically a lock? I thought he looked pretty good the couple games he played for you guys

He was solid, but he was there 1. because he wouldn't have signed if he didn't go straight to the NHL to end the season, and 2. because literally the entire team was injured.

There's a lot of competition now with the amount of prospects they have pushing for spots, especially with Smith already signed and Celebrini likely to sign

newman23 liked this.

Jun. 8 at 2:49 a.m.

#10

jMoneyBrah

Joined: Jul. 2015

Posts: 30

Likes: 9

Quoting: AStovetop

It’s pretty typical formula, at least with the Sharks, to get a college FA signing enough games immediately after signing to burn the first year of the ELC and then start them in the AHL the following season. Graf showed some things after signing, he’s definitely got some deception, smarts, and patience to his game. But he’s also got a lot to work on and needs to fill out his frame some more to be really effective at the NHL level. He’s just far too easy to knock off the puck.

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