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jamnjon
Member Since
Jan. 15, 2017
Favourite Team
San Jose Sharks
Forum Posts
341
Posts per Day
0.1
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 hours ago
Thread:
simple and realistic imo
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>gavinray</b></div><div>Blackwood was acquired for a 6th round pick and put up a sub .900sv%, albeit on a bad team
Zetterlund was arguably the 5th most valuable piece going to SJS for the Meier trade
The Chychrun trade was originally proposed by a WSH fan actually and would be in keeping with the return for similar players of that calibre
So yes I do think these trades are realistic</div></div>
The hope with a second is that it could turn into a player close to what Zetterlund is. Why would they trade a guy who is already that player and is young for a chance to maybe get him.
Also, save percentage is not good for analyzing a goalie playing behind a defense corpse. According to Natural Stat Trick the Sharks gave up 901 high danger scoring chances compared to 888 for number 2 (Chicago), 850 for number 3 (STL), 848 for number 4 (CBJ), and 807 for number 5 (Habs). The average number in the league was 734.03. Save percentage doesn't factor in shot quality at all. Despite a few really terrible games skewing the numbers, Blackwood put up a positive GSAx and he was the reason the Sharks were able to stay close in a lot more games than they should've been in. Some members of the media voted him as the most valuable player on the Sharks (though Granlund won the vote overall).
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Yesterday at 5:30 a.m.
Thread:
Maplé's 2024 Mock Draft [early May version]
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quote:</div>San Jose could really use defense as aside from Shakir, their d pool looks bleak.</div>
I don't disagree that the Sharks could really use a defenseman and that Jiricek could be a good choice for them, but despite the valid concerns about his size (generously listed at 5'9"), Luca Cagnoni is a very exciting defensive prospect for the Sharks. He's the first WHL defenseman in 30 years to put up 90 points.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 9:55 p.m.
Thread:
Calling Southern California
The Pacific Division outside of Anaheim declines the Trouba trade for them. We don't want to have to play him more than we already do.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Yesterday at 1:57 p.m.
Thread:
Depending on whos still available
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Element23VM</b></div><div>Keep in mind that every draft year is different. If there's a guy at 12 that San Jose feels is a superstar (Eiserman, for example) that hasn't been picked, yet... they may use excess capital to make it happen.
Especially, in this case, if Philly believe they'll get their guy at 14 anyway... let's suppose they're going after Yakemchuk.</div></div>
I get that, but teams will generally only overpay so much. The absolute highest overpay I saw from any team going back to 2007 also happened to involve the Sharks - it was when they traded back from 11 with Arizona a couple years ago so Arizona could get Geekie and the Sharks got 27, 34, and 45 which was a 31.58% overpay. If you notice, the Coyotes moved 1 pick higher than the Sharks are moving here and they started from 13 picks lower and it cost them slightly lower picks to do so, and that's the largest overpay I saw. With 14, 33, and 42 it would be a 76.36% overpay. The team wants quality over quantity, but there are limits to how much quantity they'll sacrifice.
Also, if Yakemchuk is seeming like he'll be there at 14, he fits more of a need for the Sharks than Eiserman, especially since they won the lottery and are taking Celebrini at 1.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Wed. at 5:17 a.m.
Thread:
Celebrini
I figured it out...starting in the 3rd round you just went alphabetical by last name. I was going to be impressed with the depth of your knowledge if you had picks all the way down to 224 out of 225 picks but noticed Carter George at 218.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Wed. at 3:56 a.m.
Thread:
Depending on whos still available
Based on the Athletic pick values pick 12 is worth 5.5 GSVA, pick 14 is 5.1, 33 is 2.6, and 42 is 2.0. I looked through 18 trades moving up in the 1st round and teams overpaid by about 10-20% so a team moving up to 12 would be expected to pay around 6.05-6.6 GSVA. 14 and 42 is 7.1 which is a bit over a 30% overpay. It's possible that happens, but I can't see pick 33 being included as well.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 9:02 p.m.
Thread:
treliving BBQ
The league declines the Sharks trade since they have no retention slots available.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 2:07 p.m.
Thread:
Continue Development
Sharks probably decline at that price. Sturm's value to the Sharks, particularly with their lack of center depth, is probably at a minimum a 3rd but likely higher, and dumping Fabbri costs more than a 7th.
Other teams might value Sturm lower than that and by the TDL (or even after the draft) his value to the Sharks might go down, but he's the type of veteran they need in the locker room to teach the kids to give 100% every night even when they're 7 points behind second to last in the standings.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 7:00 p.m.
Thread:
My turn as Torontos President 2024 off season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>V123</b></div><div>Hey, if it’s not in the rulebook, it’s fair game. No rule against to my knowledge at least.</div></div>
My understanding is that the league blocked the Lightning from doing that awhile back with Vinny Lecavalier. While there might not be a rule specifically stating that, IIRC there is a catch-all rule that essentially gives the right to the league to claim something is against the rules even if it isn't explicitly stated.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Sun. at 6:46 p.m.
Thread:
Bad Contract Swap
Sharks decline. Couture's bad contract has 3 seasons left vs 6 for Jones, there's a decent chance Couture ends up on Robidas Island, and Couture's cap hit is 1.5M less.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 1:26 a.m.
Thread:
Cant Prolong The Inevitable
I mentioned it elsewhere that had the Sharks trading for Marner. It doesn't make sense at all to give up significant assets for a one year rental on a guy who likely won't re-sign with you when you're in a rebuild. If GMMG gave up pick 14 and Musty, finished bottom 5ish in the league next year, and Marner walked then he would have earned being fired. The only way it would make sense is if the price to acquire him is less than the value you can get to flip him at the TDL, but that's unlikely to be the case.
Edit: Also, despite his friendship with Patty, I don't see any scenario where he waives his NMC to come to San Jose.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 12:50 a.m.
Thread:
Zettertank
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>Ok, what’s the LEAST SIGNIFICANT of the SIGNIFICANT overpays?</div></div>
You trade to acquire Jack Hughes from LA, grab his brother Riley, trade for Cameron Hughes' rights from Seattle, trade for Quinn Hughes from Vancouver, and give us all six Hugheses. We might or might not re-sign some of them.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sat. at 1:50 a.m.
Thread:
Change In the House of the Sharks
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>FunMustBeAlways</b></div><div>Didn't realize Kotkaniemi's buyout was that cheap. Although the buyout would last like 2 million years lol. He would be the most expensive to dump of the three.</div></div>
Since he's only 23 it's only 1/3 instead of 2/3 of his non-bonus salary that needs to be played (and he has no bonuses). The value of his deal varies slightly hence the differences, but you're paying 1/3 of the contract over twice the time so each year it's roughly 1/6 of his deal. If he were 26+ it would be 2/3, but the real thing that makes contracts rough is bonus heavy deals since the bonuses are paid 100% regardless of buyout.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sat. at 1:22 a.m.
Thread:
Seven Events for Ideal Sharks Offseason Celebrini Yakemchuk Reinhart Pesce Roy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>Would be fun team…that goaltending duo though.</div></div>
Blackwood was great this year - there was a case for him being player of the year for the team. I know he's been inconsistent in the past but if he keeps up his play from this year he could end up being pretty good.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Sat. at 12:42 a.m.
Thread:
Mock Draft simulation
From the Sharks side of things I don't agree with this mock. They need defense and there are good defensemen available that wouldn't be reaches for them at all of their picks other than 1. If they win the lottery and get Celebrini at 1 I don't see them going for Boisvert at 14 with guys like Yakemchuk and Jiricek available there as well as Stiga at 33 and Humphreys at 42 with guys like Elick, Badinka, Sahlin Wallenius, and Freij still available. In general you want to go BPA, but there's reasonable argument that the listed players are better than the selected ones AND they fit a need. If they lose the lottery and end up with Levshunov or something they are more likely open to other positions, I just don't see them using 4 picks in the top 42 in a defense-heavy draft and not selecting a single defenseman.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Sat. at 12:29 a.m.
Thread:
Ideal draft for MTL
Seems like there was a bug in the lottery function for this draft. If a team below 11th wins the first lottery the Sharks don't make sense to be in the 2nd lottery. In this case you'd have teams 2-13 minus Philly figuring out if they're picking 3rd, Pittsburgh figuring out if they're picking 4th and deferring the traded pick to 2025, Detroit hoping to pick 5th, and St Louis hoping to pick 6th.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Fri. at 10:13 p.m.
Thread:
NJD 24-25
I don't think the Sharks take that deal. I think Sturm is worth more than moving up from 84 or 85 (depending if FV reaches the WCF) to 75, adding in a late 5th, and gambling on a guy who has been dealing with back issues for the last 4 years.
Now if the Sharks are targeting someone who is available at 75 and they don't think will be there at 84 or 85 it might change things, but otherwise I don't think it's worth it. That's especially true when giving up a center (a position where they're weak) and a guy who has taken on a leadership role and plays the style Grier wants (never giving up on a game even in the middle of a 10-game losing streak when you're trailing by 4-5 goals).
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Fri. at 8:01 p.m.
Thread:
Seattle Gains Cap Room
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Mr_Miraculous</b></div><div>Possibly a condition that one of the 2nds could become a 1st if Seattle reaches the WCF in 2025 or 2026.
Even without that, this trade isn't unreasonable.</div></div>
I don't feel like a condition requiring Seattle to reach the WCF in the next 2 years adds much value to a trade. We're talking about a team that finished sub-500 this year. I know they went on a run to game 7 of the 2nd round last year and anything can happen, but I feel like this season was a bit of regression to the mean and the likelihood that they reach the WCF is very slim.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 30 at 10:21 p.m.
Thread:
1 more mock before new rankings
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>If a team from 12-16 wins the first lottery, doesn’t that lock in San Jose to 1st overall?
I think the order would be…
1. San Jose
2. Ottawa
3. Minnesota
4. Chicago
5. Anaheim
…no?</div></div>
You're correct (unless it was Ottawa wins 1st lottery and it was posted backwards).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 29 at 3:06 a.m.
Thread:
Wings
Sharks pass. Holl is a cap dump so he requires assets to get rid of. Sturm is a good 4C that has value.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 29 at 12:55 a.m.
Thread:
Surprise at number five
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>All of these stories have come from one group of people…same click of parents in California. Yet, on every other team he has played on, none of this seems to have happened.
</div></div>
The school he was kicked out of for urinating on someone's stuff was in Rochester, NY, and then the picture he posted was as a member of the Long Island Gulls, so not just the same clique of people in California. The other East Coast team (New Jersey Avalanche) he opted to leave after two weeks because travel was difficult between there and California due to pandemic restrictions.
I'll admit I haven't heard anything out of Tri City which is probably most important since it's the two most recent seasons and the last thing I heard about was when he was 16, but my team (Sharks) has been bitten by taking gambles on people with character issues in recent past (Kane and Merkley) so I want them staying far away from him.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 28 at 10:13 p.m.
Thread:
Surprise at number five
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>He is top-5 in talent…probably quite easily. Those rankings are hedging that he may slip due to a photo from when he was 15. Since then, he has done all the right things, and many respected people have vouched for him.</div></div>
If it were just a single incident when he was 15 it'd be one thing. He bullied several teammates, was accused of using racial slurs against an opponent (the league had a hearing for him and couldn't verify it had happened, but they never even notified the accuser or the accuser's coach of the hearing to give his side of things), was kicked off a team after a week for peeing on a teammate's stuff in response to being hazed, despite his skill he wasn't accepted back to the Jr Ducks, and then posted the picture you're talking about and was kicked off his team for it.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Apr. 28 at 5:26 p.m.
Thread:
Surprise at number five
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Z0ra</b></div><div>Connelly at 5th doesn't shock me at all. I have him #6 on my board.</div></div>
He's a player that, if my team picks him even with the final pick in the draft, I might consider picking a new team to cheer for.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Apr. 28 at 5:14 p.m.
Thread:
Who Says No Marner Waives NMC
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>glarson17</b></div><div>Sharks say no because 1 guy isn’t changing this organization over night. They had a good prospect pool right now but they still need to bolster it. Picks 14 and 33 will greatly help them bolster that pool. Bystedt is likely a middle six center, a big one, who fits what Grier wants. Granlund was almost a ppg this year, Ferraro is a middle pair D. Those losses will make this team much worse and set the franchise back even further.</div></div>
In addition to all of that, Marner will be a UFA after next season. If Grier gave all of that up for him and he walked at the end of the year Grier would deserve to be fired. It makes sense when you're gambling on a player for a cup run to have a partial season rental, but a one season rental for a rebuilding team just doesn't make sense unless there's a belief you can flip the player at the TDL for more than you spent.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Apr. 23 at 1:07 p.m.
Thread:
Sillinger Offersheet
I really think they should do this...how else is he going to surpass his dad's 12 teams if he's not moving to new teams this early in his career? Then again, he still has time...his dad was 23 (almost 24) before he moved on to his second team and Cole's a few weeks shy of 21.
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