What This Team Could Look Like April 16th 2024

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Created by: CaseyFlyman

Team: 2023-24 Columbus Blue Jackets

Initial Creation Date: Dec. 20, 2023

Published: Dec. 20, 2023

Salary Cap Mode: Basic

Description

Based on results so far, this is what I could see the roster looking like by the end of the season. I actually like what Paz has done with the system so far, but Jarmo likely gets fired in the offseason to signal a leadership change. Players on the chopping block include:

Bemstrom: He's an RFA and probably doesn't fit the long-term plans, but he's looked good recently
Peeke: Pleasge get this man off my team
Bean: He's a UFA, and there's better 3LD in the system. Trade him to a contender looking for depth D
Roslovic: He probably doesn't have a spot on the roster when he comes back from injury, let alone long-term. Hasn't been a fit, move him to a contender half-retained.
Provorov: What's the point of keeping a Mateychuk-placeholder when Mateychuk becomes NHL-ready? Sell him for essentially even-value to cost of acquisition

And controversially:
Laine: I don't know what else to say other than he doesn't look right. There's flashes of game-changing power and skill, but 99% of the time he's just coasting or turning over the puck. Find a hockey trade for a team looking at reclaiming his value.
Jenner: Look, I don't know that there's a more valuable realistic trade chip on the roster. Nothing signals "the results aren't good enough" like trading your captain and franchise games-played record holder. This sets us up for a massive leadership change and culture change. The bidding war for a player like Jenner yields a massive haul for the future. Maybe we move some picks for NHL-players in the offseason, like last year.

Players rumored to be on the move that stay put:
Merzlikins: I just don't think there's a non-Campbell swap that makes sense for this team, and the price of a Campbell swap is something Edmonton likely isn't willing to pay. He stays put until the goalie of the future, Jet Greaves, is ready.
Boqvist: He's, IMO, one of the 6 best defensemen on the roster now. May or may not have a long-term spot, but he's signed through next year so we punt on that decision.

Lines are based on what's working now (based on Moneypuck), and what might make sense.

If there's enough discussion on it, maybe I'll make a revision 2 later.

Trades

CBJ

Olausson, Oskar
2024 1st round pick (COL)
2025 1st round pick (COL)

Additional Details:

Colorado gets a legit 2C, with an insanely good cap hit and term. It costs an arm and a leg, considering the retention and bidding war if Jenner became available.

COL

Jenner, Boone ($1,875,000 retained)

Additional Details:

Columbus gets essentially three 1sts for trading the captain, and retaining on what's already one of the best contracts in the league.

CBJ

Zegras, Trevor

Additional Details:

Swap of two underperforming, injured forwards. A hockey trade, but Anaheim gets a 2nd and Peeke (an NHL defenseman who needs a change of scenery too) for taking back the much higher cap hit, and for giving up arguably the better player.

ANA

Laine, Patrik
Peeke, Andrew
2025 2nd round pick (CBJ)

Additional Details:

Columbus trims some of the fat, moving two players who could use a change for a longer-term piece.

CBJ

2024 2nd round pick (PIT)

Additional Details:

Pittsburgh, assuming they're still in contention for a wild card spot, make a deadline move for a scoring forward who can play center.

Could be another team as well. I also considered POJ and a lesser pick coming back instead, so let me know if you'd prefer that.

PIT

Roslovic, Jack ($2,000,000 retained)

Additional Details:

Columbus sells a UFA half-retained for futures.

CBJ

2024 3rd round pick (NJD)

Additional Details:

NJ picks up some defensive depth with Dougie on LTIR until the playoffs, and doesn't pay much to do so.

NJD

Bean, Jake ($1,000,000 retained)
2024 5th round pick (CBJ)

Additional Details:

Columbus upgrades a pick by selling a UFA, in a quality over quantity move. Of note, they use their final retention slot here for 2024.

CBJ

Dillon, Brenden
2024 1st round pick (WPG)
2025 3rd round pick (WPG)

Additional Details:

WPG upgrades their 2nd pair, with a good puck moving defenseman on a decent contract with term.

WPG

Provorov, Ivan

Additional Details:

Columbus recoup some assets, effectively receiving the can kicked down the road last year. If Mateychuk is ready, Provorov is redundant.

Dillon gets flipped for additional picks or prospects at the deadline.

CBJ

Reaves, Ryan
2024 4th round pick (TOR)
2024 5th round pick (TOR)
2025 3rd round pick (TOR)

Additional Details:

Toronto gets Reaves off the books, and an NHL defenseman with some physicality, all for relatively cheap.

TOR

Dillon, Brenden

Additional Details:

Columbus moves a UFA for picks, and buys out Reaves in the offseason ($450,000 cap hit for 4 seasons).

I don't really have a good read on the value here so LMK.

CBJ

Bankier, Caedan

Additional Details:

The Wild look to get some cheap depth and a bargain on an inconsistent player that has upside and can play throughout the lineup.

MIN

Bemström, Emil
2024 4th round pick (CBJ)

Additional Details:

Columbus pays for a prospect at a position of need, hoping to essentially upgrade one of the now abundant draft picks with a player that may contribute a few years sooner.

Buyouts

Alexander Wennberg: $891,667

Retained Salary Transactions

Boone Jenner: $1,875,000 (50%)
Jack Roslovic: $2,000,000 (100%)
Jake Bean: $1,000,000 (42.86%)

Draft	Round 1	Round 2	Round 3	Round 4	Round 5	Round 6	Round 7
2024
2025
2026

ROSTER

LONG-TERM OUTLOOK

EMBED

TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE	SALARY CAP	CAP HIT	OVERAGES	BONUSES	CAP SPACE
23	$83,500,000	$66,474,166	$0	$7,832,500	$17,025,834

Left Wing	Centre	Right Wing
Gaudreau, Johnny $9,750,000$9,750,000 LW NMC UFA - 6	Fantilli, Adam $950,000$950,000 ($3,200,000$3M) C RFA - 3	Zegras, Trevor $5,750,000$5,750,000 C, LW RFA - 3
Chinakhov, Yegor $800,000$800,000 RW, LW RFA - 1	Voronkov, Dmitri $925,000$925,000 LW, C, RW RFA - 2	Marchenko, Kirill $925,000$925,000 ($850,000$850K) RW RFA - 1
Johnson, Kent $925,000$925,000 ($1,850,000$2M) LW, C RFA - 1	Sillinger, Cole $925,000$925,000 ($850,000$850K) C RFA - 1	Danforth, Justin $975,000$975,000 RW, C UFA - 1
Texier, Alexandre $1,525,000$1,525,000 LW, C, RW RFA - 1	Kuraly, Sean $2,500,000$2,500,000 C, LW M-NTC UFA - 2	Olivier, Mathieu $1,100,000$1,100,000 RW UFA - 2
		Reaves, Ryan $1,350,000$1,350,000 RW UFA - 3

Left Defense	Right Defense	Goaltender
Werenski, Zachary $9,583,333$9,583,333 LD NMC UFA - 5	Severson, Damon $6,250,000$6,250,000 RD NTC UFA - 8	Merzlikins, Elvis $5,400,000$5,400,000 G M-NTC UFA - 4
Mateychuk, Denton $918,333$918,333 LD RFA - 4	Jiricek, David $918,333$918,333 ($1,000,000$1M) RD RFA - 3	Tarasov, Daniil $1,050,000$1,050,000 G RFA - 2
Svozil, Stanislav $825,000$825,000 ($82,500$82K) LD RFA - 3	Gudbranson, Erik $4,000,000$4,000,000 RD M-NTC UFA - 3	Martin, Spencer $762,500$762,500 G UFA - 1
	Boqvist, Adam $2,600,000$2,600,000 RD RFA - 2

Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:43 p.m.

#26

CaseyFlyman

Thread Starter

Joined: Sep. 2018

Posts: 2,231

Likes: 1,952

Quoting: JJHockey_15

Boone Jenner isn’t worth 2 first round picks and a prospect. He’s one first round pick at most.

I assure you Columbus isn't moving him for less, especially half-retained. Unwillingness to part with him in the first place + Top-6 forward + Leadership/Faceoff/Goal-scoring prowess + $1.875M cap hit with term = outrageous return, especially considering most contenders want a player like that, and most of them can afford one at what's basically double league minimum.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:48 p.m.

#27

CaseyFlyman

Thread Starter

Joined: Sep. 2018

Posts: 2,231

Likes: 1,952

Quoting: CanMerc

Jets decline
What the realistic cost for Jenner and/or Severson

If I rework it, I'd find another team for Provorov since it doesn't seem like he's a fit anyway.

Realistic for Jenner is, IMO, the trade above. 2 late firsts and a good prospect. To quote @DK325 on another post, it's very similar to the Ryan Smyth trade, except: "Smyth cost 8.97% of the cap when the Islanders got him and only had him for one run. Boone in this scenario would cost 2.3% of the cap this year, 2.14% next year, and 2.04% the year after if it goes up another 5%. Pretty great value for the Avs and their cup window over 3 runs."

Severson won't get moved, teams don't move players on year one of an 8 year deal, especially since he's got a full NTC. CBJ do have other RD available though.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 6:52 p.m.

#28

CanMerc

Joined: Dec. 2023

Posts: 543

Likes: 428

Quoting: CaseyFlyman

If I rework it, I'd find another team for Provorov since it doesn't seem like he's a fit anyway.

Realistic for Jenner is, IMO, the trade above. 2 late firsts and a good prospect. To quote DK325 on another post, it's very similar to the Ryan Smyth trade, except: "Smyth cost 8.97% of the cap when the Islanders got him and only had him for one run. Boone in this scenario would cost 2.3% of the cap this year, 2.14% next year, and 2.04% the year after if it goes up another 5%. Pretty great value for the Avs and their cup window over 3 runs."

Severson won't get moved, teams don't move players on year one of an 8 year deal, especially since he's got a full NTC. CBJ do have other RD available though.

Wouldn’t pay that for Jenner and what other top pairing RHD do you have?

Dec. 20, 2023 at 7:00 p.m.

#29

dk325

Dolzhenkov Is Coming

Joined: Mar. 2022

Posts: 3,701

Likes: 5,390

Quoting: JJHockey_15

Boone Jenner isn’t worth 2 first round picks and a prospect. He’s one first round pick at most.

You wildly underestimate the value of a guy who can play all scenarios while scoring 25-25-50 at under $2M against the cap for 3 playoff runs.

CaseyFlyman liked this.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 7:46 p.m.

#30

swissmontana

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 952

Likes: 1,128

Quoting: dk325

You wildly underestimate the value of a guy who can play all scenarios while scoring 25-25-50 at under $2M against the cap for 3 playoff runs.

sure, but why would Columbus retain on a player that doesn't really need retention? like the Avs wouldn't need to ask for retention on Jenner, im not sure ANY team does. Columbus should save those retention spots

Dec. 20, 2023 at 8:19 p.m.

#31

TyeZerker

Joined: Jul. 2023

Posts: 1,206

Likes: 174

Devils decline, they will go after Hanifin if they want a LD. Your also not getting a 3rd for bean when your trading in division stop with these bad trades. Hanifin,Middleton,Mcdonald,Lauzon,Ferraro are all better option than bean. hell even RD's Carrier,Tanev,Lyubush,Fabbro are also all better. bean and his 3pts arent gonna do anything, the Devils lack scoring from the back end again bean does nothing.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 8:45 p.m.

#32

Andy_Dick

Banned

Joined: Feb. 2022

Posts: 5,094

Likes: 2,375

Quoting: CaseyFlyman

Literally no one outside Fantilli is worth 2 1sts round picks. The club is awful lmao

Never should have let the Mike Babcock photography club go! It had so much promise. Maybe they could have been a 75 point team instead of a 55 point team.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 8:59 p.m.

#33

CaseyFlyman

Thread Starter

Joined: Sep. 2018

Posts: 2,231

Likes: 1,952

Quoting: TyeZerker

I mean...yeah, he's not exactly the best option on the market. But he's cheap, maybe I'd try a 4th for Bean and a 6th instead with another team. If you don't get Hanifin, are NJ still in the market for D?

Dec. 20, 2023 at 9:00 p.m.

#34

CaseyFlyman

Thread Starter

Joined: Sep. 2018

Posts: 2,231

Likes: 1,952

Quoting: Andy_Dick

Thanks for your valuable insight. Colorado fans seem to think he's worth it (or at least close), so I'm gonna go with them.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 9:37 p.m.

#35

dk325

Dolzhenkov Is Coming

Joined: Mar. 2022

Posts: 3,701

Likes: 5,390

Quoting: swissmontana

Save them for what? An opportunity to retain money on a player over a short term to open up more trade options at an increased value? Something like retaining 50% on Boone for 2.5 years?

Dec. 20, 2023 at 9:40 p.m.

#36

swissmontana

Joined: May 2023

Posts: 952

Likes: 1,128

Quoting: dk325

Save them for what? An opportunity to retain money on a player over a short term to open up more trade options at an increased value? Something like retaining 50% on Boone for 2.5 years?

It would be retention for like 3 years right? That’s a long time to freeze up one of three retention spots they could use for third party retention for picks.

Dec. 20, 2023 at 9:44 p.m.

#37

dk325

Dolzhenkov Is Coming

Joined: Mar. 2022

Posts: 3,701

Likes: 5,390

Quoting: swissmontana

It would be retention for like 3 years right? That’s a long time to freeze up one of three retention spots they could use for third party retention for picks.

Not many teams use 3 every year. The Jackets rarely use theirs to begin with. It's not much of an opportunity lost to tie 1/3 up for 3 TDLs when it could significantly increase Boone's value to a contender that's tight against the cap.

CaseyFlyman and swissmontana liked this.

Dec. 21, 2023 at 9:11 a.m.

#38

Civil_Eng_PE

Yegor bomb

Joined: Apr. 2022

Posts: 783

Likes: 948

Quoting: Andy_Dick

Oh, look the biggest CBJ hater on Cap Friendly makes his presence known again.

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