Quoting: dgibb10
If you aren’t buying him out this year that means you pay him his full 5.5 mill this year+the cost of the buyout.
So 5.5 this year+buyout cost for 4 years
Vs
2.75 mill for 3 years
Quoting: Campabee
You are right about them being similar, however its only1 year longer, since he is not being bought out this year, but we would be retaining this year. It is 2.025 mil (8.1 mil total) vs 2.75 mil (8.25 mil total) but we lose our ability to retain on another player at the TDL which is the bigger cost.
A. Net differences of retaining Anderson vs buying out Anderson (+ is an expense, - is savings)
2024-25....+$2,527,778
2025-26.......+$527,778
2026-27........-$972,222
2027-28.....-$1,722,222
2028-29.....-$1,722,222
2029-30.....-$1,722,222
Total..........-$3,083,332 (cap savings over six years)
B. Adding Dvorak mitigates the first year cost....
2024-25.....-$1,922,222
2025-26.......+$527,778
2026-27........-$972,222
2027-28.....-$1,722,222
2028-29.....-$1,722,222
2029-30.....-$1,722,222
Total..........-$7,533,332 (cap savings over six years)
C. Or net difference of buying out both players vs retaining both players
2024-25....+$4,136,111
2025-26.....-$1,388,889
2026-27........-$972,222
2027-28.....-$1,722,222
2028-29.....-$1,722,222
2029-30.....-$1,722,222
Total..........-$3,391,666 (cap savings over six years)
D. Net differences of retaining Anderson vs buying out Anderson in 2025
2024-25....-$2,750,000
2025-26......+$833,333
2026-27.......-$666,667
2027-28....-$1,416,667
2028-29....-$1,416,667
2029-30...................$0
Total.........-$5,416,668 (cap savings over five years)
E. Net differences of retaining Anderson vs buying out Anderson in 2026
2024-25....-$2,750,000
2025-26....-$2,750,000
2026-27.......-$416,667
2027-28....-$1,166,667
2028-29....................$0
2029-30....................$0
Total.........-$7,083,334 (cap savings over four years)
So under any scenario, there are cap savings to retaining Anderson....Average Annual Values for each
Scenario A.........$0.51m x 6 years = $3.08m total
Scenario B.........$1.26m x 6 years = $7.53m total
Scenario C.........$0.56m x 6 years = $3.91m total
Scenario D.........$1.08m x 5 years = $5.42m total
Scenario E..........$1.77m x 4 years = $7.08m total
Quoting: Campabee
Not gonna argue with you, you would make this trade, I wouldn't. We have both outlined our reasons, neither is more valid than the other, it is just my personal opinion that Holtz is not a big enough prize to retain on Anderson, add Dvorak and also a 1st. I think for the deal to work they are going to have to take Anderson at full cap hit, drop Dvorak or switch the 1st to a 2nd.
Anderson at full cap would probably not be an option, unless Montreal is adding a much better piece to move the salary. And then MTL would still need to pay for Holtz on top of that. So perhaps if its Anderson/1st/1st for Holtz or something, it would not work.
Your
Alternative Trade of Anderson, Heineman, Struble, #5oa for Holtz, #10oa (with no salary retained) does not account for Anderson's negative value at $5.5m. I would counter that proposal with another one of
your suggestions that Anderson = Slafkovsky.
MTL gives: Slafkovsky, Heineman, Struble, #5oa
MTL gets: Holtz, #10oa