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AndrewPawlack

18 lotteries, 0 wins
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Forum: Armchair-GMFeb. 13 at 6:59 p.m.
Thread: My TDL
Let's just start with Jenner isn't getting moved, and Andersen isn't getting moved unless the Canes actually do manage to land Saros (and even then...???).

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Caniac2000</b></div><div>Freddie's played 6 games and is a starting goalie. Elvis is a fringe backup making 5 million.

KK's better defensively, better age, better creator. This is a bad overpayment for a middle six guy.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AndrewPawlack</b></div><div>yes I can see he's only played 6 games. But in those 6 he's played like **** with the best defense in the league in front of him. As I said to someone else, Canes don't need Boone, but if they trade him for KK that's a Columbus loss.

"great deal long term" 8 year nearly 5 mill per for a bottom 6 player loooool</div></div>

Moneypuck has Freddie's GSAx/60 at -.096, Elvis is at +.047. Of goalies to play 5+ games this year, Freddie ranks 48th, Elvis ranks 41st.
Freddie's GAA: 2.87, 0.09 worse than expected. Elvis: GAA is 3.21, 0.05 better than expected.
Freddie's SV% is an .894 (46th in the league), Elvis' is a .904 (30th in the league) per ESPN.

They're both league average. Literally average. Calling Freddie a "starting goalie" and Elvis a "fringe backup" is blatant homerism. Saying Freddie has "played like ****" is also just untrue. Given the contracts, you take Freddie 100 times out of 100, but people love to slander Elvis when he's objectively fine, just overpaid.

Same goes with KK vs. Jenner.

Better defensively? KK is starting 59.6% of his shifts in the offensive zone (career 62.7% in Carolina) vs. Jenner's 47.6% and 45.9%, respectively. FO%: KK = 48.4%, Jenner = 54.5%. Shorthanded, KK's played a grand total of 4.3 minutes this year, vs. Jenner's 48.1 (where he's only allowed 5 shots).

Better age? Yeah, clearly. Better creator? Sure, KK has a 55.2% xGF% (-.8% relative to the rest of Carolina) and a 61% CorsiFor% vs. Jenner's 48.6% xGF% (+5.2% relative to the rest of Columbus), 52% CorsiFor%. That, though, has a lot to do with the team play.

Points? KK: 9-9-18, -11, career best: 18-25-43, +10.
Jenner: 15-5-20, -7, career best: 30-19-49, -15.

If you're only looking at points, yeah, Jesperi looks like he's a Jenner-type. But the fact is, he's a bottom-6 center who does everything...okay, but is sheltered by a great team and favorable matchups. Jenner is a middle-6 center who does basically everything but playmaking pretty well, and is asked to do too much on a terrible team.

Again, they're not getting moved, but at least try to have some objectivity here, both of you.