Good nerd
Joined: Jun. 2023
Posts: 962
Likes: 526
I'd use the offer sheet calculator to determine where to start your offers from. If the other team is not cap crunched and the player is outperforming their current contract, then that is an absolute floor for trading the player. The real trade value would likely be higher though, because GMs just never seem to do offer sheets.
My best-guess inputs to the calculator:
Cap Hit: 7500000
Length: 7 years (maybe the Bruins opt for something like 6 years, but I think they go 8)
Compensation: 2 1st round picks, 1 second round pick, 1 third round pick
Holtz is not worth a 1st + 3rd round pick at this point in time (although maybe he will be!), so I think you need to increase the offer substantially to have a real conversation. But in my opinion, it would take a real godfather offer to pry Swayman away from the Bruins this offseason. Probably young roster player (Mercer), high-end prospect, and 1st rounder (could be 2025) as the starting point. It can be fun to talk about it, but I don't think both sides could ever reach an agreement. Maybe in the future if something changes, but not now.