Predictions vs Reality in the 2023-3024 Season

Forums/Mock-Draft

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Draft Class: 2024

Published: Apr. 22 at 2:39 p.m.

Description

My 2023-2024 Pre-Season Predictions and Commentary: https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/753577

Playoff teams I got wrong:
In: Washington, New York I, Nashville
Out: New Jersey, Buffalo, Seattle

Best calls: Vancouver, Winnipeg, and Tampa Bay make the playoffs. Calgary, Pittsburgh, and Minnesota do not. Dallas wins the West. Boston remains a top team.
Biggest misses: New Jersey at 2nd in the league (yikes), Buffalo and Seattle in the playoffs, Washington and Philadelphia at the bottom of the East. Ottawa being competitive.

DRAFT

TEXT-EMBED

Round 1
0. San Jose (San Jose Sharks) (Details: Predicted: 48 points, 32nd in the League, 16th in the West, 8th in the Pacific. 
Actual: 47 points, 32nd in the League, 16th in the West, 8th in the Pacific.
Difference: -1 point, correct, correct, correct.).
0. Philadelphia (Chicago Blackhawks) (Details: Predicted: 51 points, 31st in the League, 16th in the East, 8th in the Metropolitan.
Actual: 87 points, 21st in the League, 11th in the East, 6th in the Metropolitan.
Difference: +36 points, +10 spots in the League, +5 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Metropolitan.).
0. Anaheim (Anaheim Ducks) (Details: Predicted: 58 points, 30th in the League, 15th in the West, 7th in the Pacific. 
Actual: 59 points, 30th in the League, 14th in the West, 7th in the Pacific.
Difference: +1 point, correct, +1 spot in the West, correct.).
0. Chicago (Columbus Blue Jackets) (Details: Predicted: 63 points, 29th in the League, 14th in the West, 8th in the Central. 
Actual: 52 points, 31st in the League, 15th in the West, 8th in the Central.
Difference: -11 points, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the West, correct.).
0. Washington (Montreal Canadiens) (Details: Predicted: 75 points, 28th in the League, 15th in the East, 7th in the Metropolitan.
Actual: 91 points, 17th in the League, 8th in the East, 6th in the Metropolitan.
Difference: +16 points, +11 spots in the League, +7 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Metropolitan.).
0. Arizona (Arizona Coyotes) (Details: Predicted: 76 points, 27th in the League, 13th in the West, 7th in the Central. 
Actual: 77 points, 27th in the League, 13th in the West, 7th in the Central. 
Difference: +1 points, correct, correct, correct.).
0. Montreal (Ottawa Senators) (Details: Predicted: 76 points, 26th in the League, 14th in the East, 8th in the Atlantic.
Actual: 76 points, 28th in the League, 15th in the East, 8th in the Atlantic.
Difference: correct, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the East, correct.).
0. Columbus (Seattle Kraken) (Details: Predicted: 83 points, 25th in the League, 13th in the East, 6th in the Metropolitan.
Actual: 66 points, 29th in the League, 16th in the East, 8th in the Metropolitan.
Difference: -17 points, -4 spots in the League, -3 spots in the East, -2 spots in the Metropolitan.).
0. St Louis (Calgary Flames) (Details: Predicted: 86 points, 24th in the League, 12th in the West, 6th in the Central.
Actual: 92 points, 16th in the League, 9th in the West, 5th in the Central.
Difference: +6 points, +8 spots in the League, +3 spots in the West, +1 spot in the Central.).
0. Pittsburgh (New Jersey Devils) (Details: Predicted: 89 points, 23rd in the League, 12th in the East, 5th in the Metropolitan
Actual: 88 points, 19th in the League, 10th in the East, 5th in the Metropolitan
Difference: -1 points, +4 spots in the League, +2 spots in the East, correct.).
0. Calgary (Buffalo Sabres) (Details: Predicted: 91 points, 22nd in the League, 11th in the West, 6th in the Pacific. 
Actual: 81 points, 24th in the League, 11th in the West, 5th in the Pacific.
Difference: -10 points, -2 spots in the League, correct, +1 spot in the Pacific.).
0. Nashville (Philadelphia Flyers) (Details: Predicted: 91 points, 21st in the League, 10th in the West, 5th in the Central. 
Actual: 99 points, 11th in the League, 6th in the West, 4th in the Central.
Difference: +8 points, +11 spots in the League, +4 spots in the West, +1 spot in the Central.).
0. Minnesota (Minnesota Wild) (Details: Predicted: 92 points, 20th in the League, 9th in the West, 4th in the Central. 
Actual: 87 points, 20th in the League, 10th in the West, 6th in the Central.
Difference: -5 points, correct, -1 spots in the West, -2 spots in the Central.).
0. Winnipeg (San Jose Sharks from Pittsburgh Penguins) (Details: Predicted: 93 points, 19th in the League, 8th in the West, 3rd in the Central. 
Actual: 110 points, 4th in the League, 2nd in the West, 2nd in the Central.
Difference: +17 points, +15 spots in the League, +6 spots in the West, +1 spot in the Central.).
0. Ottawa (Detroit Red Wings) (Details: Predicted: 93 points, 18th in the League, 11th in the East, 7th in the Atlantic.
Actual: 78 points, 26th in the League, 14th in the East, 7th in the Atlantic.
Difference: -15 points, -8 spots in the League, -3 spots in the East, correct.).
0. Vancouver (Washington Capitals) (Details: Predicted: 94 points, 17th in the League, 7th in the West, 5th in the Pacific. 
Actual: 109 points, 6th in the League, 3rd in the West, 1st in the Pacific.
Difference: +15 points, +11 spots in the League, +4 spots in the West, +4 spots in the Pacific.).
0. Detroit (St. Louis Blues) (Details: Predicted: 94 points, 16th in the League, 10th in the East, 6th in the Atlantic.
Actual: 91 points, 18th in the League, 9th in the East, 5th in the Atlantic.
Difference: -3 points, -2 spots in the League, +1 spot in the East, +1 spot in the Atlantic.).
0. New York I (New York Islanders) (Details: Predicted: 95 points, 15th in the League, 9th in the East, 4th in the Metropolitan
Actual: 94 points, 15th in the League, 7th in the East, 4th in the Metropolitan
Difference: -1 points, correct, +2 spots in the East, correct.).
0. Tampa Bay (Vegas Golden Knights) (Details: Predicted: 96 points, 14th in the League, 8th in the East, 5th in the Atlantic.
Actual: 98 points, 13th in the League, 6th in the East, 4th in the Atlantic.
Difference: +2 points, +1 spot in the League, +2 spots in the East, +1 spot in the Atlantic.).
0. Buffalo (Chicago Blackhawks from Tampa Bay Lightning) (Details: Predicted: 97 points, 13th in the League, 7th in the East, 4th in the Atlantic.
Actual: 84 points, 22nd in the League, 12th in the East, 6th in the Atlantic.
Difference: -13 points, -9 spot in the League, -5 spots in the East, -2 spots in the Atlantic.).
0. Florida (Los Angeles Kings) (Details: Predicted: 98 points, 12th in the League, 6th in the East, 3rd in the Atlantic.
Actual: 110 points, 5th in the League, 3rd in the East, 1st in the Atlantic.
Difference: +12 points, +7 spots in the League, +3 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Atlantic.).
0. Seattle (Nashville Predators) (Details: Predicted: 98 points, 11th in the League, 6th in the West, 4th in the Pacific. 
Actual: 81 points, 25th in the League, 12th in the West, 6th in the Pacific.
Difference: -17 points, -14 spots in the League, -6 spots in the West, -2 spots in the Pacific.).
0. Los Angeles (Toronto Maple Leafs) (Details: Predicted: 100 points, 10th in the League, 5th in the West, 3rd in the Pacific. 
Actual: 99 points, 12th in the League, 7th in the West, 3rd in the Pacific.
Difference: -1 point, -2 spots in the League, -2 spots in the West, correct.).
0. New York R (Anaheim Ducks from Edmonton Oilers) (Details: Predicted: 101 points, 9th in the League, 5th in the East, 3rd in the Metropolitan
Actual: 114 points, 1st in the League, 1st in the East, 1st in the Metropolitan
Difference: +13 points, +8 spots in the League, +4 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Metropolitan.).
0. Boston (Colorado Avalanche) (Details: Predicted: 104 points, 8th in the League, 4th in the East, 2nd in the Atlantic.
Actual: 109 points, 7th in the League, 4th in the East, 2nd in the Atlantic.
Difference: +5 points, +1 spot in the League, correct, correct.).
0. Edmonton (Ottawa Senators from Boston Bruins) (Details: Predicted: 107 points, 7th in the League, 4th in the West, 2nd in the Pacific. 
Actual: 104 points, 9th in the League, 5th in the West, 2nd in the Pacific.
Difference: -3 points, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the West, correct.).
0. Colorado (Calgary Flames from Vancouver Canucks) (Details: Predicted: 108 points, 6th in the League, 3rd in the West, 2nd in the Central. 
Actual: 107 points, 8th in the League, 4th in the West, 3rd in the Central.
Difference: -1 point, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the West, -1 spot in the Central.).
0. Toronto (Philadelphia Flyers from Florida Panthers) (Details: Predicted: 110 points, 5th in the League, 3rd in the East, 1st in the Atlantic.
Actual: 102 points, 10th in the League, 5th in the East, 3rd in the Atlantic.
Difference: -8 points, -5 spots in the League, -2 spots in the East, -2 spots in the Atlantic.).
0. Vegas (Montreal Canadiens from Winnipeg Jets) (Details: Predicted: 110 points, 4th in the League, 2nd in the West, 1st in the Pacific. 
Actual: 98 points, 14th in the League, 8th in the West, 4th in the Pacific.
Difference: -12 points, -10 spots in the League, -6 spots in the West, -3 spots in the Pacific.).
0. Dallas (Carolina Hurricanes) (Details: Predicted: 111 points, 3rd in the League, 1st in the West, 1st in the Central. 
Actual: 113 points, 2nd in the League, 1st in the West, 1st in the Central.
Difference: +2 points, +1 spot in the League, correct, correct.).
0. New Jersey (Dallas Stars) (Details: Predicted: 116 points, 2nd in the League, 2nd in the East, 2nd in the Metropolitan
Actual: 81 points, 23rd in the League, 13th in the East, 7th in the Metropolitan
Difference: -35 points, -21 spots in the League, -11 spots in the East, -5 spots in the Metropolitan.).
0. Carolina (New York Rangers) (Details: Predicted: 117 points, 2nd in the League, 1st in the East, 1st in the Metropolitan
Actual: 111 points, 3rd in the League, 2nd in the East, 2nd in the Metropolitan
Difference: -6 points, -1 spot in the League, -1 spots in the East, -1 spot in the Metropolitan.).

CapFriendly.com User-Generated Mock-Draft

ROUND 1	TEAM	ORIGINAL	PLAYER	DETAILS

1	-	San Jose	Predicted: 48 points, 32nd in the League, 16th in the West, 8th in the Pacific. Actual: 47 points, 32nd in the League, 16th in the West, 8th in the Pacific. Difference: -1 point, correct, correct, correct.
2	-	Philadelphia	Predicted: 51 points, 31st in the League, 16th in the East, 8th in the Metropolitan. Actual: 87 points, 21st in the League, 11th in the East, 6th in the Metropolitan. Difference: +36 points, +10 spots in the League, +5 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Metropolitan.
3	-	Anaheim	Predicted: 58 points, 30th in the League, 15th in the West, 7th in the Pacific. Actual: 59 points, 30th in the League, 14th in the West, 7th in the Pacific. Difference: +1 point, correct, +1 spot in the West, correct.
4	-	Chicago	Predicted: 63 points, 29th in the League, 14th in the West, 8th in the Central. Actual: 52 points, 31st in the League, 15th in the West, 8th in the Central. Difference: -11 points, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the West, correct.
5	-	Washington	Predicted: 75 points, 28th in the League, 15th in the East, 7th in the Metropolitan. Actual: 91 points, 17th in the League, 8th in the East, 6th in the Metropolitan. Difference: +16 points, +11 spots in the League, +7 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Metropolitan.
6	-	Arizona	Predicted: 76 points, 27th in the League, 13th in the West, 7th in the Central. Actual: 77 points, 27th in the League, 13th in the West, 7th in the Central. Difference: +1 points, correct, correct, correct.
7	-	Montreal	Predicted: 76 points, 26th in the League, 14th in the East, 8th in the Atlantic. Actual: 76 points, 28th in the League, 15th in the East, 8th in the Atlantic. Difference: correct, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the East, correct.
8	-	Columbus	Predicted: 83 points, 25th in the League, 13th in the East, 6th in the Metropolitan. Actual: 66 points, 29th in the League, 16th in the East, 8th in the Metropolitan. Difference: -17 points, -4 spots in the League, -3 spots in the East, -2 spots in the Metropolitan.
9	-	St Louis	Predicted: 86 points, 24th in the League, 12th in the West, 6th in the Central. Actual: 92 points, 16th in the League, 9th in the West, 5th in the Central. Difference: +6 points, +8 spots in the League, +3 spots in the West, +1 spot in the Central.
10	-	Pittsburgh	Predicted: 89 points, 23rd in the League, 12th in the East, 5th in the Metropolitan Actual: 88 points, 19th in the League, 10th in the East, 5th in the Metropolitan Difference: -1 points, +4 spots in the League, +2 spots in the East, correct.
11	-	Calgary	Predicted: 91 points, 22nd in the League, 11th in the West, 6th in the Pacific. Actual: 81 points, 24th in the League, 11th in the West, 5th in the Pacific. Difference: -10 points, -2 spots in the League, correct, +1 spot in the Pacific.
12	-	Nashville	Predicted: 91 points, 21st in the League, 10th in the West, 5th in the Central. Actual: 99 points, 11th in the League, 6th in the West, 4th in the Central. Difference: +8 points, +11 spots in the League, +4 spots in the West, +1 spot in the Central.
13	-	Minnesota	Predicted: 92 points, 20th in the League, 9th in the West, 4th in the Central. Actual: 87 points, 20th in the League, 10th in the West, 6th in the Central. Difference: -5 points, correct, -1 spots in the West, -2 spots in the Central.
14		Winnipeg	Predicted: 93 points, 19th in the League, 8th in the West, 3rd in the Central. Actual: 110 points, 4th in the League, 2nd in the West, 2nd in the Central. Difference: +17 points, +15 spots in the League, +6 spots in the West, +1 spot in the Central.
15	-	Ottawa	Predicted: 93 points, 18th in the League, 11th in the East, 7th in the Atlantic. Actual: 78 points, 26th in the League, 14th in the East, 7th in the Atlantic. Difference: -15 points, -8 spots in the League, -3 spots in the East, correct.
16	-	Vancouver	Predicted: 94 points, 17th in the League, 7th in the West, 5th in the Pacific. Actual: 109 points, 6th in the League, 3rd in the West, 1st in the Pacific. Difference: +15 points, +11 spots in the League, +4 spots in the West, +4 spots in the Pacific.
17	-	Detroit	Predicted: 94 points, 16th in the League, 10th in the East, 6th in the Atlantic. Actual: 91 points, 18th in the League, 9th in the East, 5th in the Atlantic. Difference: -3 points, -2 spots in the League, +1 spot in the East, +1 spot in the Atlantic.
18	-	New York I	Predicted: 95 points, 15th in the League, 9th in the East, 4th in the Metropolitan Actual: 94 points, 15th in the League, 7th in the East, 4th in the Metropolitan Difference: -1 points, correct, +2 spots in the East, correct.
19	-	Tampa Bay	Predicted: 96 points, 14th in the League, 8th in the East, 5th in the Atlantic. Actual: 98 points, 13th in the League, 6th in the East, 4th in the Atlantic. Difference: +2 points, +1 spot in the League, +2 spots in the East, +1 spot in the Atlantic.
20		Buffalo	Predicted: 97 points, 13th in the League, 7th in the East, 4th in the Atlantic. Actual: 84 points, 22nd in the League, 12th in the East, 6th in the Atlantic. Difference: -13 points, -9 spot in the League, -5 spots in the East, -2 spots in the Atlantic.
21	-	Florida	Predicted: 98 points, 12th in the League, 6th in the East, 3rd in the Atlantic. Actual: 110 points, 5th in the League, 3rd in the East, 1st in the Atlantic. Difference: +12 points, +7 spots in the League, +3 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Atlantic.
22	-	Seattle	Predicted: 98 points, 11th in the League, 6th in the West, 4th in the Pacific. Actual: 81 points, 25th in the League, 12th in the West, 6th in the Pacific. Difference: -17 points, -14 spots in the League, -6 spots in the West, -2 spots in the Pacific.
23	-	Los Angeles	Predicted: 100 points, 10th in the League, 5th in the West, 3rd in the Pacific. Actual: 99 points, 12th in the League, 7th in the West, 3rd in the Pacific. Difference: -1 point, -2 spots in the League, -2 spots in the West, correct.
24		New York R	Predicted: 101 points, 9th in the League, 5th in the East, 3rd in the Metropolitan Actual: 114 points, 1st in the League, 1st in the East, 1st in the Metropolitan Difference: +13 points, +8 spots in the League, +4 spots in the East, +2 spots in the Metropolitan.
25	-	Boston	Predicted: 104 points, 8th in the League, 4th in the East, 2nd in the Atlantic. Actual: 109 points, 7th in the League, 4th in the East, 2nd in the Atlantic. Difference: +5 points, +1 spot in the League, correct, correct.
26		Edmonton	Predicted: 107 points, 7th in the League, 4th in the West, 2nd in the Pacific. Actual: 104 points, 9th in the League, 5th in the West, 2nd in the Pacific. Difference: -3 points, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the West, correct.
27		Colorado	Predicted: 108 points, 6th in the League, 3rd in the West, 2nd in the Central. Actual: 107 points, 8th in the League, 4th in the West, 3rd in the Central. Difference: -1 point, -2 spots in the League, -1 spot in the West, -1 spot in the Central.
28		Toronto	Predicted: 110 points, 5th in the League, 3rd in the East, 1st in the Atlantic. Actual: 102 points, 10th in the League, 5th in the East, 3rd in the Atlantic. Difference: -8 points, -5 spots in the League, -2 spots in the East, -2 spots in the Atlantic.
29		Vegas	Predicted: 110 points, 4th in the League, 2nd in the West, 1st in the Pacific. Actual: 98 points, 14th in the League, 8th in the West, 4th in the Pacific. Difference: -12 points, -10 spots in the League, -6 spots in the West, -3 spots in the Pacific.
30	-	Dallas	Predicted: 111 points, 3rd in the League, 1st in the West, 1st in the Central. Actual: 113 points, 2nd in the League, 1st in the West, 1st in the Central. Difference: +2 points, +1 spot in the League, correct, correct.
31	-	New Jersey	Predicted: 116 points, 2nd in the League, 2nd in the East, 2nd in the Metropolitan Actual: 81 points, 23rd in the League, 13th in the East, 7th in the Metropolitan Difference: -35 points, -21 spots in the League, -11 spots in the East, -5 spots in the Metropolitan.
32	-	Carolina	Predicted: 117 points, 2nd in the League, 1st in the East, 1st in the Metropolitan Actual: 111 points, 3rd in the League, 2nd in the East, 2nd in the Metropolitan Difference: -6 points, -1 spot in the League, -1 spots in the East, -1 spot in the Metropolitan.

Apr. 22 at 7:44 p.m.

GiggywithGibby

Future Ducks legend

Joined: Jun. 2022

Posts: 10,218

Likes: 7,005

There were a lot of injuries to key contributors on the Ducks this season, we only got half a season of Leo, 3/4 a season of McTavish, 1/3 a season of Zegras (1/6 where he was actually healthy) and Mintyukov was down for a spell as well.

Here's to hoping next season, with the addition of Cutter, we move up to 4/5 in the Pacific. Calgary and Seattle should be catchable to jump up.