Joined: Jul. 2021
Posts: 1,053
Likes: 550
I’d call this one “fair”, as opposed to “good”. I don’t think it’s a bargain, but I wouldn’t say it’s an overpay either. Some people have used the “one good season” argument, and I’m usually critical of teams that sign players who’ve had only one good season to big contracts, but this is 3 years, not 5 or 7, and the AAV is low for a consistent 30-goal scorer if that’s what he turns out to be. I thought he was a good player even before he scored 35 goals, so I think he has the ability to continue to perform up to expectations. This contract seems to strike a good balance between regression risk and potential up-side, and age-wise it should cover most of his prime years.