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realistic - cap clearing and smart trades - feedback please

Created by: SamySeif
Team: 2019-20 Edmonton Oilers
Initial Creation Date: Apr. 1, 2019
Published: Apr. 1, 2019
Salary Cap Mode: Basic
Description
The most important thing the Oilers need to do this offseason is clear cap. I am not expecting every bad contract to be shed as that is borderline impossible in the NHL, but if they are able to move one bad contract, things open up.
Free Agent Signings
RFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$1,000,000
$2,500,000
2$1,150,000
2$700,000
UFAYEARSCAP HIT
1$2,000,000
4$4,500,000
2$1,250,000
Trades
1.
EDM
  1. 2020 7th round pick (FLA)
FLA
  1. Lucic, Milan ($3,000,000 retained)
  2. 2019 2nd round pick (EDM)
  3. 2020 3rd round pick (EDM)
Additional Details:
This trade is not Lucic to Florida (or another team that is never close to the cap ceiling - florida, arizona, carolina etc.) straight up, but rather part of a 3 team deal involving the Senators. After July 1st, Lucic is to be paid 16 million in REAL dollars over the next 4 season, yet he will still count for 6 million against the cap per season.

In this scenario the oilers retain 50% the remaining money after paying his bonus (please Katz). By doing so they will be paying him 8 of the remaining 16 million dollars.

The Senators acquire Lucic and retain 1 million per season and flip him to "Florida" for a 6th round pick.

To summarize:
Oilers - retains 8/16 million remaining dollars, and receives a 7th round pick in 2020 from the Sens. Thus clearing a boat anchor contract for a cap ceiling team and ridding a serious distraction from a media and fan perspective.

Senators - retain 1 million a season - 4 of the remaining 8 million total, and receives a 2nd/ 3rd rounder from edmonton, and a 6th from Florida to further flood their rebuild, prospect pool.

Panthers - pay Lucic the remaining 4 million over 4 seasons, acquiring a 4th line player that provides veteran leadership. Obviously at an expensive cost.. however, there is always the possibility of a bounce back (unlikely), and his actual cap doesn't really affect them in terms of the cap ceiling and future spending.

It's complicated, but might be the only possible scenario Edmonton is able to get out of this contract and not have to give up a top pick or prospect..
2.
TOR
  1. Benning, Matthew
Additional Details:
A move discussed at the deadline is revisited. One that makes sense for both teams. The Leafs are able to clear a little cap and rid themselves of a player that unfortunately is too expensive for his current role due to the offensive talent above him. In Benning, the Leafs upgrade their 3rd pair.
Buyouts
Retained Salary Transactions
Buried
DraftRound 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Round 5Round 6Round 7
2019
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the NYI
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
2020
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the FLA
2021
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
Logo of the EDM
ROSTER SIZESALARY CAPCAP HITOVERAGES TooltipBONUSESCAP SPACE
23$83,000,000$76,180,332$0$602,500$6,819,668
Left WingCentreRight Wing
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$8,500,000$8,500,000
C, LW
UFA - 6
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$12,500,000$12,500,000
C
UFA - 7
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,950,000$1,950,000
RW
UFA - 1
$4,500,000$4,500,000
LW, RW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$6,000,000$6,000,000
LW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,150,000$1,150,000
RW
UFA
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$808,333$808,333 (Performance Bonus$32,500$32K)
LW, RW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$2,835,000$2,835,000
RW, C
UFA - 1
Logo of the Toronto Maple Leafs
$2,100,000$2,100,000
RW, LW
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,000,000$1,000,000
LW, C
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$675,000$675,000
C
RFA - 1
$1,250,000$1,250,000
RW, LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$700,000$700,000
LW
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,150,000$1,150,000
C
UFA - 1
Left DefenseRight DefenseGoaltender
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,167,000$4,167,000
LD
UFA - 4
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,166,666$4,166,666
RD
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,500,000$4,500,000
G
M-NTC
UFA - 3
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$3,200,000$3,200,000
LD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$4,000,000$4,000,000
LD/RD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 2
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,500,000$1,500,000 (Performance Bonus$500,000$500K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$720,000$720,000 (Performance Bonus$70,000$70K)
LD/RD
UFA - 1
$2,000,000$2,000,000
G
UFA - 1
Logo of the Edmonton Oilers
$1,000,000$1,000,000
RD
UFA - 1

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Apr. 1, 2019 at 1:37 a.m.
#1
True Reverse Retro
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The biggest issue with this is that both Florida and Ottawa already have a retained salary on their books. Ottawa is paying Phaneuf $1.75M through 2020-2021, and Florida is paying Demers $562.5K through 2020-2021 as well. Taking on Lucic's retained salary for Ottawa means that they are only able to have one more retained salary transactions on the books for the next 2 years. Florida, if they ever decide they wanted to move Lucic, would be in the same boat.

The only realistic scenario that I can see for Edmonton moving Lucic is for them to retain 35-50% of his remaining contract AND add a piece that is going to be of value for the other team. Teams that are lacking a physical presence are going to be the Oilers best bet, given that Lucic's offensive prowess has all but disappeared. The Blackhawks, Predators, and Sabres are all near the bottom of the league in terms of their physicality, and all have young superstars that may benefit from a physical presence (DeBrincat, Forsberg, Eichel, etc.)
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Apr. 1, 2019 at 1:49 a.m.
#2
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Really creative proposal. I'd say that would be beneficial to all parties involved even with Lucic pacing at his current production. Biggest road block would be Florida, I'd say with the amount of prospects they have vying for roster spots in the next 1-2 seasons it would be perplexing to have Lucic logjam them with a guaranteed roster spot (NMC)

An alternative path would be to trade for Karl Alzner. Alzner has three more years at $4.625 million left after this season. Buying out Alzner is more manageable than buying out Lucic. There’s a big spike in year two, similar with a Lucic buyout, otherwise it’s four years of $1.069 million with a $2.194 million year in between.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 3:51 a.m.
#3
Emil_Sweden
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Nice try, but the proble is that NOBODY need Lucic, nobody wants Lucic. And defenitly not in a four years span. Edmonton is probably locked in to keep him in two more years, THEN trade him in a 50% retained + draftpick deal (the best), or a another bad contract-but I don´t want that for Edmonton. How much is FLorida paying in the end?? I can see Katz put up the money, because he needs to, for keeping the team competitive an McDavid happy, and Lucic is clogging the team up,

I´ve have done soe Edmonton tries, and I had also Jarnmark in my mind, somehow I think he brings stuff Edmonton needs.
And in many armchair GM tries, I see that Benning is the odd man out, and Brown is coming in, but that trade in itself is not wanted by Leaf fans.
I think Benning is a good player when paired with a veteran or Klefbom.

And I don´t think they should put the pressure on a young rookie like Benson to put him up in the top 6, It´s time to create a more healthy culture, fight and earn your spot. But of course, you need to have depth to make that possible... Os it´s a bad circle.. But put Benson on the 4th, to begin with, and let him work himself up.

So talking about that, I think Edmonton needs a 3C (veteran or not, somehow 2 way responsible, and have a hockeybrain), then two middle costly wingers to create a depth in the lines.
Maybe armchair GMs should GM Edmonton? That would meant bringing in Connor Brown, in almost every case, bringing Benning out, and may armchair GMs also like to bring in J.Donskoi, B,, Connoky and sometimes Kapanen.

Maybe a big trade involving Kapanen + Brown for Benning + prospect (maybe Bear, we already have Bouchard) ?

THe annoying thing is that Kicking out Lucic contract in itself would solve 85% of all problems, but at the same time, it´s probably the second worst contract in the leauge (Seabrook only worse), and almost impossible to trade, ´cause the team taking him can´t buy him out - it´s to expensive.

Wow, Was Chiarelli ever bad AND stupid.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 5:41 a.m.
#4
What in tarnation
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Probably the biggest reason why no one is taking Lucic is that he must be protected in the expansion draft due to his NMC. As far as I know, the NMC from his contract changes to M-NTC just after the expansion draft...not to mention that as a player and as a contract, he completely sucks.

Your best bet is trying to trade him to a young team that does not have 7 experienced forwards to protect (meaning that they're rebuilding and consists mostly from young players / rookies) and have cap space. Technically OTT or LA could be one of your best bets, but Lucic has no reason to waive his NMC to go from a dumpster fire to another... And LA has their own share of bad contracts already (Phaneuf and Kovy, I'm looking at you)...

In my opinion, the only way you get rid of Lucic is either via buyout or just wait until his contract expires. No team wants him and no team needs him - at all.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 7:00 a.m.
#5
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Quoting: BurgerBoss
Probably the biggest reason why no one is taking Lucic is that he must be protected in the expansion draft due to his NMC. As far as I know, the NMC from his contract changes to M-NTC just after the expansion draft...not to mention that as a player and as a contract, he completely sucks.


If Lucic gets traded at all, it means that he has agreed to waive his NMC... therefore it's GONE and not in anyone's consideration for the expansion draft.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 7:02 a.m.
#6
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I agree that this is a creative proposal (although not an original one), what I don't get is this:

Lucic @ $3M is a negative asset, so much so that it cost's a 2nd + a 3rd to move him
Lucic @ $2M is a positive asset, OTT gets a 6th back for him in this scenario

These 2 things don't jive to me. If he's a mega-negative at $3M, how is he now a positive at $2M?
Apr. 1, 2019 at 7:17 a.m.
#7
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Quoting: AH96
it would be perplexing to have Lucic logjam them with a guaranteed roster spot (NMC)

If traded, Lucic would have to waive his NMC. Then it only travels with him if the receiving GM opts for it (hint: he won't).

Quoting: AH96
An alternative path would be to trade for Karl Alzner. Alzner has three more years at $4.625 million left after this season. Buying out Alzner is more manageable than buying out Lucic. There’s a big spike in year two, similar with a Lucic buyout, otherwise it’s four years of $1.069 million with a $2.194 million year in between.

This is interesting. How do you propose the trade be structured? Straight up? With retention? Prospects or picks added?
Apr. 1, 2019 at 7:40 a.m.
#8
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Benning, (a 7th defender at best), isn't an upgrade to the leaf's blue line. They have a log jam in that area. Nice try.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 7:54 a.m.
#9
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Quoting: BurgerBoss
Probably the biggest reason why no one is taking Lucic is that he must be protected in the expansion draft due to his NMC. As far as I know, the NMC from his contract changes to M-NTC just after the expansion draft...not to mention that as a player and as a contract, he completely sucks.


you're above statement is not true. a player has the right to waive his nmc for the expansion draft and for the expansion draft only.. lucic would 99% waive the clause, because he it would allow his team, the oilers to retain another player and be stronger.


getting back to the original trade. Lucic isn't waiving his clause for ottawa. teams don't want dead money for years on their roster. there are plenty of teams who want to dump cap which include good NHL veterans. players like lucic stay with his current team.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 8:35 a.m.
#10
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Quoting: CD282
If Lucic gets traded at all, it means that he has agreed to waive his NMC... therefore it's GONE and not in anyone's consideration for the expansion draft.


His no movement clause is not 'GONE', he still has it and has control of where he wants to go. He will have to be protected in the Seattle draft or bought out. Just because he waives his right doesn't mean it is lost.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 8:42 a.m.
#11
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Quoting: kingsfaninSD
His no movement clause is not 'GONE', he still has it and has control of where he wants to go. He will have to be protected in the Seattle draft or bought out. Just because he waives his right doesn't mean it is lost.


Look it up - if he waives it for a trade the receiving GM has the option as to whether the clause comes along or not. And since no GM would agree to have it travel with the player, it is indeed GONE. Here's the info from this very website:

What is a No-Move Clause (NMC)?
A No-Move Clause (NMC) can be added to a player's contract in the years after they are eligible for Group 3 Unrestricted Free Agency (7 Accrued seasons or 27 years of age), and has the following properties:
Player cannot be traded without his consent (however, the clause can specify a modified no-trade clause that limits the NTC to a certain number of teams)
Player cannot be placed on waivers without his consent
Player cannot be assigned to the minors without his consent
Player is not exempt from a buyout or contract termination
The clause can travel with the player even if he consents to being traded or is claimed on waivers
- This requires that the acquiring team sign an addendum to the contract ensuring that the clause does in fact travel with the player (written by the player's agent)
- If the acquiring team refuses to sign the addendum, and the player waives his clause anyway, at that point the clause may be nullified
If the player is traded before the clause takes effect, the acquiring team can opt to void the clause
Apr. 1, 2019 at 11:46 a.m.
#12
Banned
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Quoting: Danes1294
Benning, (a 7th defender at best), isn't an upgrade to the leaf's blue line. They have a log jam in that area. Nice try.


Quoting: CD282
Benning has been playing defence in the NHL successfully for 3 years now. Nobody is going to fall for your bullsh*t.


The deal makes no sense from Toronto perspective. That's why it wasn't done at the deadline and that's why it won't be done at all. If Brown is moved, it's a cap casualty/savings move. Trading him for Benning who is a third pairing d-man makes no sense because Benning only makes $200K less than Brown. That's not even a league minimum contract. Brown's value will be right around a 2nd or 3rd round pick with a mediocre prospect as well. Benning might make the Leafs outta camp next season as a #6 d-man, but that's not beneficial when he still makes close to what Brown does and Toronto can call up Liljegren to play that role if needed who makes under $1M. Or Toronto signs a veteran to a league minimum contract to fill the role.

Bottom line: Brown for Benning will not, nor should it happen.
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Apr. 1, 2019 at 12:05 p.m.
#13
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Quoting: jonesryan
The deal makes no sense from Toronto perspective. That's why it wasn't done at the deadline and that's why it won't be done at all. If Brown is moved, it's a cap casualty/savings move. Trading him for Benning who is a third pairing d-man makes no sense because Benning only makes $200K less than Brown. That's not even a league minimum contract. Brown's value will be right around a 2nd or 3rd round pick with a mediocre prospect as well. Benning might make the Leafs outta camp next season as a #6 d-man, but that's not beneficial when he still makes close to what Brown does and Toronto can call up Liljegren to play that role if needed who makes under $1M. Or Toronto signs a veteran to a league minimum contract to fill the role.

Bottom line: Brown for Benning will not, nor should it happen.


Oh I agree, I wasn't arguing in favor of the trade at all. TBH, I don't think it makes much sense from EDM's perspective either. I have seen several Leaf's rosters on here where Brown is traded for a 3rd, I think that's the way Dubas will go. Maybe EDM is the trading partner, but not for Benning.
Apr. 1, 2019 at 8:09 p.m.
#14
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Quoting: CD282
Look it up - if he waives it for a trade the receiving GM has the option as to whether the clause comes along or not. And since no GM would agree to have it travel with the player, it is indeed GONE. Here's the info from this very website:

What is a No-Move Clause (NMC)?
A No-Move Clause (NMC) can be added to a player's contract in the years after they are eligible for Group 3 Unrestricted Free Agency (7 Accrued seasons or 27 years of age), and has the following properties:
Player cannot be traded without his consent (however, the clause can specify a modified no-trade clause that limits the NTC to a certain number of teams)
Player cannot be placed on waivers without his consent
Player cannot be assigned to the minors without his consent
Player is not exempt from a buyout or contract termination
The clause can travel with the player even if he consents to being traded or is claimed on waivers
- This requires that the acquiring team sign an addendum to the contract ensuring that the clause does in fact travel with the player (written by the player's agent)
- If the acquiring team refuses to sign the addendum, and the player waives his clause anyway, at that point the clause may be nullified
If the player is traded before the clause takes effect, the acquiring team can opt to void the clause


How does Phaneuf still has his then since he waived his to go to the Kings?
Apr. 1, 2019 at 10:13 p.m.
#15
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SamySeif
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Quoting: Danes1294
Benning, (a 7th defender at best), isn't an upgrade to the leaf's blue line. They have a log jam in that area. Nice try.


That is beyond a bad take. A log jam of players that aren't fit to play on an NHL roster. Benning analytically is a terrific third pair dman. Take plus minus as you will, Benning is plus 12 on a team that has a minus 37 goal differential. His plus minus - Nobody is going to do the Leafs any favour and allow them to move CB for a pick to clear cap space to sign Kapanen and Johnsson.
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Apr. 1, 2019 at 10:18 p.m.
#16
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SamySeif
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Quoting: CD282
I agree that this is a creative proposal (although not an original one), what I don't get is this:

Lucic @ $3M is a negative asset, so much so that it cost's a 2nd + a 3rd to move him
Lucic @ $2M is a positive asset, OTT gets a 6th back for him in this scenario

These 2 things don't jive to me. If he's a mega-negative at $3M, how is he now a positive at $2M?


The positive is only having to pay him 1 million in real dollars. for a cap floor team that could be appealing as his actual count against the cap has zero impact on team spending. I understand that he takes a position away from a younger player. Look I wouldn't make this trade as a floor team, but I have seen enough bad contracts be dealt in the NHL that I have suspicion something along these lines will get done. "Hockey boys" love having veterans to teach young kids how to be "pros" and by all accounts Lucic in the locker room is very well respected at every stop he has had.
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Apr. 2, 2019 at 6:31 a.m.
#17
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Quoting: kingsfaninSD
How does Phaneuf still has his then since he waived his to go to the Kings?


Umm, if you read the post you replied to you'll see the answer. I even put it in bold to make it easier for you.
Apr. 2, 2019 at 7:42 a.m.
#18
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Quoting: SamySeif
That is beyond a bad take. A log jam of players that aren't fit to play on an NHL roster. Benning analytically is a terrific third pair dman. Take plus minus as you will, Benning is plus 12 on a team that has a minus 37 goal differential. His plus minus - Nobody is going to do the Leafs any favour and allow them to move CB for a pick to clear cap space to sign Kapanen and Johnsson.


Be careful not to let sentimental feelings for players cloud your vision on their abilities as players.
Apr. 2, 2019 at 5:48 p.m.
#19
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Quoting: CD282
If traded, Lucic would have to waive his NMC. Then it only travels with him if the receiving GM opts for it (hint: he won't).


This is interesting. How do you propose the trade be structured? Straight up? With retention? Prospects or picks added?


I'd say 1 for 1 with nothing retained. Alzner is not even playing in the NHL and the Habs would get at the very least a 4th line grinder (if not a 3rd line PP specialist) so that would be a fair off-set for the difference in salary.
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