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jamnjon
Member Since
Jan. 15, 2017
Favourite Team
San Jose Sharks
Forum Posts
378
Posts per Day
0.1
POSTS
THREADS
LIKES
ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
3 hours ago
Thread:
Run it back for disappointment again
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>kohnsharkosz</b></div><div>Exactly, I mentioned this previously when this type of deal came up. He's 23 and could absolutely still pop. Then you look like a genius only paying $4.8m. If not, his buyout, while long, maxes at $835k. I think for two second rounders you take a run at this.
Besides, the Sharks org seems to be committed to trying to get every 2018 first rounder at least a year in SJ.</div></div>
As a note, his buyout stays cheap (increases a bit to 850k) as long as he's bought out before July 6, 2026, so we could even give him a shot for two seasons and, barring another weird covid-like season pushing things back significantly, he'd maintain that 1/3 price. Doing that would also make it end after the 2033-34 season instead of 2035-36.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
9 hours ago
Thread:
Leafs Add Three Captains
Sharks don't have a retention slot, plus Cooch might never play again.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
Saitl Up
I was going to suggest it didn't make sense that Pav would take 1.5M less (before taxes) to play for a rebuilding Sharks team next year but saw it was in a couple years. I know we want his leadership and we don't really have cap concerns in that timeframe but a 2-year deal for a 41-year old seems a bit much.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
The core has to go
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Rob32sjsharks</b></div><div>Ehhh Goodrow is a good depth guy but NYR need to dump cap and this is a fairly affordable way to shave 3.6 mil off the books</div></div>
I'm suggesting that a mid 3rd is a joke for his cap dump.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 hours ago
Thread:
The core has to go
Didn't really look at the other stuff but I'm assuming the Sharks trade was a joke.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 hours ago
Thread:
Prospect Pool post Draft
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Waffelz</b></div><div>But that's the case with every prospect group. When you say it doesn't look good, it objectively does compared to almost any other team in the league (except maybe the Sabres/Wings/Jackets). For the relatively short time that they have been rebuilding, San Jose has done an incredible job acquiring high tier assets. They jumped from 17th to 4th in rankings last year, and will almost certainly go to 1st or 2nd this year.</div></div>
I point this out frequently, but I give the Athletic's prospect pool rankings a major asterisk. The biggest thing for the Sharks is they've had very few prospects graduate. Teams like Chicago had Bedard, Korchinski, and Vlasic graduate while the Sharks only lost Eklund. That's not to downplay the massive growth of the Sharks' pool, I just think I'd rate them below a few more teams.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 hours ago
Thread:
Is this enough for Number 1
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>Will be interesting debate about the 2025 pick. I’d say make 2025 lottery-protected, but I think it is barred from lottery anyway. If so, SjS could still win with that pick, so it has move value to them (they can still move up).</div></div>
They're not barred from the lottery. On 32 Thoughts recently (Monday?) someone specifically asked about it and the answer was that a team that remains in their position doesn't lose eligibility, so the Hawks are still eligible for next year's lottery.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
15 hours ago
Thread:
2003 redraft
No love for Pavelski?
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Yesterday at 1:19 a.m.
Thread:
Big Top 50 with Analysis
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>StutzlesNumber1Fan</b></div><div>I love when you post, well done again here buddy. I'm so happy to see you give us Nabokov, I'm in love with him right now. Iginla - Jiricek - Nabokov would be an insane draft for us.</div></div>
Sorry but that's not allowed. I know there's no relation but the Sharks are going to trade to acquire pick 219 (something like their 2025 7th for the pick) and take another goalie named Nabokov 30 years later with the same pick.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 10:28 p.m.
Thread:
Macklin Rookie Szn
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dons_weeney</b></div><div>Did you not hear the rumor that the sharks are strongly considering not taking him?</div></div>
I haven't heard anything of the sort and GMMG all but said that they would be taking him. I mean, if Chicago wants to offer us Bedard, Korchinski, Vlasic, all of their 1st and 2nd round picks including ones they've acquired from other teams for the next decade, then we'd happily send them the 1st overall pick. We'd even throw in Alex Vlasic's cousin!
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Yesterday at 5:51 p.m.
Thread:
Young Talent
Hitting the floor really isn't that hard. The Sharks are currently at 52.9M with 13 players under contract (plus retained salary/buried contracts/buyout penalties). Let's call Emberson, Thrun, and Bordeleau 1M each, that's 52.5M with 16 players (2G, 6D, 8F). It sounds like there's mutual interest in re-signing Kunin, his QO is 3M, and the team can afford to overpay a bit so let's just say he gets 3M. That's now 55.5M with 3 forward slots to go for the 20-man lineup, 5 more roster spots for a 23-man roster. The floor will probably be around 65M so the team essentially needs to spend 9.5M split between 5 players.
Let's add Macklin to the roster so that's just shy of 1M before factoring in performance bonuses (Bedard and Slafkovsky each ended up getting 3.5M in bonuses but those can't be relied on to hit the floor) so 8.5M in 4 slots. If they sign one free agent to an overpay at 6.2M then even if the other 3 slots are league minimum they reach the floor. If Couture ends up playing then there's 1 fewer roster spot with the same cap situation.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Yesterday at 2:47 p.m.
Thread:
Corey Pronman's Top 16 Mock with a Trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SMH</b></div><div>In what world 29th and 9th gets you 5th</div></div>
Seems relatively reasonable to me, especially because the Canucks' pick isn't necessarily going to be 29th, it could be anywhere from 25-32 (25th if all 4 division winners lose this round). By the Athletic's pick values, pick 5 is 8.2 GSVA. I looked through 18 trades moving up in the first round and on average they gave around 10-20% over the value in return, so somewhere between 9.02 and 9.84 is the rough estimate of what it would cost, assuming the Habs were willing. Pick 9 is 6.3 GSVA and 29 is 3.0 GSVA and 9.3 is right in that range. In the unlikely scenario where it ends up as 25th that's 9.7 GSVA and if the Canucks win the cup it's 9.0. Obviously any trade like this will happen once the pick placement is known, but it really seems about right to me.
Considering in this case the Habs are trading back because they want a forward and they (accurately in this mock) think the next few players off the board will be d-men, essentially they lost nothing since their target was still there at 9 and they added a free late first.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Yesterday at 8:14 a.m.
Thread:
Dont roast me too badly
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Augustus</b></div><div>I have to roast this, simply because YET AGAIN, people keep including UFAs in off-season trades. Just stop people, please for the love of god!!!!</div></div>
I could see it making sense in this scenario, not because of any trade value they might have. The Leafs are at 50/50 contracts so any trade has to be contract in-contract out in order not to throw errors. Again, I think the value is way off but they're taking on 5 contracts from the Sharks so they need to send out 5 contracts to be compliant.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Wed. at 5:08 a.m.
Thread:
Getting deeper fixing goaltending
Sharks definitely decline. I know a 7th is negligible, but you're going to be paying assets to get rid of him, not getting assets.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Wed. at 3:03 a.m.
Thread:
Defenseman
Keep in mind that Montreal might not need to move up to get the 25th pick. Their pick is currently somewhere between 24th and 27th depending on who wins. If Edmonton, Boston, and Colorado each win their series the Winnipeg pick the Habs are getting will be 24th. If 2 of them win it's 25th, if 1 of them wins it's 26th, and if none of them win it's 27th.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Tue. at 6:36 p.m.
Thread:
Dont roast me too badly
I definitely decline this if I'm the Sharks. The fact that Marner waived would seem to suggest he's willing to re-sign here, but we can't know for sure before the trade (draft is before he's eligible to sign an extension), so we're potentially getting Marner as a 1-year rental during a year that we're still rebuilding and Niemela (the rest of the things coming to the Sharks are just fluff I'm assuming to make contract numbers work since they're UFAs in a month and a half).
On the Sharks side of things you have pick 14, 42, likely around 35ish in 2025, and a mid/late 4th in 2025, Granlund and Ferraro who are among the best leaders in the locker room to help develop our future core and are likely a combined value of around a 1st and a 2nd to the Sharks, Halttunen who has looks like a prospect with some promise, Weisblatt who seems a long shot to make the NHL and doesn't change the value much, and the RFA rights to Addison (who many Sharks fans wouldn't mind if he didn't get his QO, also not much of a tweak to the value).
Essentially you're looking at around 4 mid to early seconds, a mid first, a late first, and a mid to late fourth in exchange for a rental and an alright defensive prospect (likely 4-5 ceiling) with the Sharks losing leadership players on a team that needs leadership players.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 2:45 a.m.
Thread:
Nuked again
Can a player be traded while he's in the Player Assistance Program? I think somebody asked it on 32 Thoughts recently but I can't recall the answer.
Even if they can, the Sharks don't take the gamble. They just moved on from 6.75M in cap hit until 2030 of a productive player's contract who had some issues (knees) but didn't really fit their timeline. Hertl's 1 year 4 months older than Nichushkin, but I truly can't imagine them acquiring a player who is a similar age earning a similar amount to what they're saving for exactly as long. They're not going to be competing for the playoffs for at least 3 years, but his contract goes an additional 3 years after that. This would be replacing a center with a less desirable position (wing) and only saving 625k.
*I'm aware Hertl's cap hit is larger than that, but the unretained portion of his contract is 6.75M
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Tue. at 2:11 a.m.
Thread:
Could I Get Some Scouting Reports On These Guys
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>Avoids getting knocked off puck by evading contract.</div></div>
Never signing a contract would be a good way to avoid getting knocked off the puck. :)
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Mon. at 8:49 p.m.
Thread:
Wsh commit to rebuild Ovi to Edm
Trade blocked by the league. You have to find another team to deal with the retention. You're also crazy if you think a team taking on 2 years of 4.75M cap hit is only worth a likely late 2026 3rd.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Mon. at 6:22 p.m.
Thread:
Gonna hate me
Even if the Sharks were going to for some reason not take Celebrini, they'd get something by trading down to 2.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 5:09 p.m.
Thread:
Learned a lot about this team this year changes need to be made
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>csick</b></div><div>Yes I’d do that as long as he comes with an extension</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>StutzlesNumber1Fan</b></div><div>As long as he waives and extends I'm sure there'd be no issues from the Sens side.</div></div>
He can't come with an extension, though the Bruins can allow the Sens to discuss things with him ahead of the trade. The draft is before July 1st and he's not eligible to be extended until July 1st.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 4:41 p.m.
Thread:
Oilers 2024-25
Sharks decline. If you take out Granlund or their 2025 2nd they might accept.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Mon. at 11:50 a.m.
Thread:
2024 CSS
I definitely disagree with your draft for the Sharks. They have a fairly good depth at center in their pipeline and very shallow depth at D, especially RD. Of course they're taking Celebrini and taking Greentree is fine, though with your mock I don't see them passing on Dickinson even though he's another LD when he's in discussion for best D in the draft. I see zero scenario where the Sharks don't take a defenseman in their first five picks of the draft and wait until 116.
Forum:
Trade Machine Proposals
Mon. at 11:35 a.m.
Thread:
Late night shenanigans
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ROBOFAN1999</b></div><div>If yall are seeing this, insert william Karlsson to SJS and then to boston on 50% retention</div></div>
Even without that the league declines the trade. The Sharks aren't going to be your team because they have zero available retention slots. Teams only get three of them and the Sharks are retaining on Burns' deal which ends after the 24-25 season, Erik Karlsson's which ends after the 26-27 season, and Hertl's which ends after the 28-29 season.
Forum:
Mock-Draft
Sun. at 10:37 p.m.
Thread:
CTN Hockey 2nd draft 2 rds
Colton Roberts seems like a big reach for the Sharks at 33. The only ranking that has him in that range is Bakula's from January that had him at 31. Draftprospects hockey had him at 47 in January, the rest have him as a late second/early third. I know the Sharks need RD, especially after grabbing MBN in the first, but I expect he'd still be available at 42 and there are other players I'd take way before him. Ironically Freij who you have the Sharks taking at 42 is a guy I'd be happier taking at 33 despite him being an LD, so if those picks were flipped it'd be a bit better to me.
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