Cowen isn't going anywhere neither is JT. Marner trade would be a great return but i doubt he waives for the wild.

I think a Marner trade is imminent and a JT trade is 50/50, FWIW. As for Cowen, I'd expect Toronto only moves him if it's for an excellent player with term on a good deal that fills a huge need (like Andersson here). The only way to get those players is by giving up a quality asset. Unless you're trading someone else off the roster (re: Knies), I don't think they have another asset of that caliber, not even the 1sts.

Non-roster players, it's Cowan > 2024 1st > Minten > 2026 1st > Grebyonkin > anything else, and it's a pretty steep drop off after that. If you're getting high quality in a trade, one or more probably has to go.

Spurgeon for Marner straight up. Take it or leave it

Adding Lazy Mantha is a waste of cap space in my opinion.

Not much respect for players trade restrictions ., Kampf says no obviously. Marner probably says no. That is just nonsensical that Tavares would agree to waive to CBJ...when he's on a Cup contender with the Leafs. A massive overpay for Andersson.

Yes.

(I'm a Jackets fan, I don't really care one way or the other, though I imagine Toronto says no).

Kampf has been moved so many times on this site I didn't even check for trade restrictions. That said...it's a 10-team no-trade list. The rare times those lists are revealed, it doesn't seem to be performance-based, so SJS might not be on that list.

Marner might say no, but if Toronto is hell bent on moving him, he's going to dictate exactly where he wants to go. Minnesota isn't a bad situation at all, so I could see him being ok with that.

On Tavares: probably. But no contender is taking that full cap hit. Again, if the Leafs are hell bent on moving him, it's either 1) retain half or 2) he waives for a non-contender on the assumption/handshake agreement that he's on a playoff team by TDL. Overall, I'm 50/50 on seeing him moved.

Lindholm, as a UFA, went for a 1st, top prospect, 4th, decent but overpaid roster player (who was nearly ppg since the trade), and a long-shot lottery-ticket prospect. I can assure you this is not a "massive" overpay for a top-pairing RD in his prime with two more years left on a great deal.

I think Tavares, if UFA this summer, would get more than $5m on a one-year deal. $7.5m maybe.

I could see something like $6.5M (Giroux as a comp, similar production). I fully expect him to sign with the Leafs next offseason at something like $5-6M for the rest of his career.

You can be sure players have "no trade" teams that have cap and are lousy. Kampf is on a good team, there is no logic that he would have one of the worse teams on the list in his last two years in the NHL.
Doesn't matter if the Leafs are hell bent on moving NMC Tavares. He's on a Cup contender with the Leafs in his hometown. He isn't moving once to Columbus a non playoff team, to hope can move again in February to a contender. Sorry just no logic in that trade.

Like Andersson though so. many think the Flames had so maybe top Dmen.....Hanifan, Tanev and Zaradov were traded, Weager and Andersson all those guys on a last place team.
But the shouldn't be moving a whole lot for two years Andersson. Liljegren is fine, and cost less. Leafs aren't trading the OHL player of the year, and Marners replacement in two years Cowan, and the two picks. But it's irrevleant Kampf and Tavares's 13.4m are Leafs next season.
.

Marner says no. If Spurgeon had just one year left then maybe the Leafs agree. But three years at 7.5m for a likely declining mid 30s Dmen, is a bad investment.

All the other teams decline Toronto's proposals.

To be fair, I'd take the Tavares deal for Columbus. The rest I don't actually have the authority to speak on.

I know it's extremely unlikely Calgary moves Andersson, and it's more likely he's the next captain...but on the 10% chance Calgary does decide to move him eventually, what would you want/expect a return to look like? That's the one I struggled with the most. I'd assume 1st, top prospect, replacement NHLer, and more picks to balance at a minimum?

Yeah the Tavares flip could be an option but it's a moot point since Tavares won't waive anyhow.

I'd say there's a better than 10% chance Calgary could move Andersson but it'll take a very good offer to move him before the last year of his contract which is the season after next. But what you proposed is way low.

In case there's a next time on a trade proposal, do you have a counteroffer? Or at least what you might add? I'm working with two teams I'm less familiar with, so I'd be genuinely curious.

Well Andersson was dealing with a nagging injury this year so if it doesn't happen at or before the draft this summer a lot would depend on how next year goes for him. Calgary doesn't have to move him he's on a great contract for 2 more years and they could very well extend him a year from now too.

But I really don't think Toronto has anything they'd be willing to trade that Calgary would give up Andersson for. That's assuming Matthews and Nylander are off the table Calgary would add for either one. Calgary wouldn't want Marner, that pretty much just leaves Knies + a late 1st if it's before the draft this summer but that'd just be a start, it'd take more than that.