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dons_weeney

Best armchair GM yet
Member Since
Jun. 28, 2023
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Boston Bruins
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Forum: Armchair-GMThu. at 5:03 p.m.
Thread: 10 center targets ranked by likelihood
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Celtics21</b></div><div>His stat line and profile don’t say he’s what you say he is. That’s one of the frustrating aspects with young teams. A reasonable percentage of the high profile prospects are simply not good at the NHL level. It could be he’s not ready and he’ll just take time. The assumption that all young players hit is actually one of the bigger fallacies around</div></div>

100% agreed. People really tend to overvalue prospects, they assume their ceiling is their likely potential, and trading them away FEELS like they're trading a player that has already hit their potential. One of my favorite things to do to show this is to look up team prospect pool rankings from 6,7,8+ years ago, and see how wrong so many of them are. It's truly an eye opener.
Forum: Armchair-GMThu. at 2:46 p.m.
Thread: 10 center targets ranked by likelihood
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Celtics21</b></div><div>Why would you want a 25 year old goaltender who’s been great the last two years and just came off a playoff where his GsaX of 13.3 in 12 games was utterly absurd. To give you context, John Gibson has passed that number in a season twice and one of those seasons was barely. He was a very good goaltender in his prime.

Not that it’s something Boston would entertain anyway. People speak all they want about goalie values. 3 of the 4 final teams have great goaltending</div></div>

Having a good goalie isn't fun/strategic, so fans underestimate their value. People are hyperfocused on skaters. But if you have a goalie that's saving half a goal to a goal a game, that's arguably more valuable than a &lt;=40 or so goal scorer.
Forum: Armchair-GMWed. at 3:19 p.m.
Thread: 10 center targets ranked by likelihood
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>It’s cheap. And trading for centers can get expensive.

Also the Lindholm contract has good chance of being a regrettable one. Especially if he gets the numbers some people are suggesting for him. But if they are getting $1m as above, it’s worth it (Sign ‘em all)

Here are AFP contract projections FYI. Maybe useful when comparing all at once.

Lindholm $6.76m x 5 years
Stamkos $6.13m x 3 years
Stephenson $5.61m x 5 years
Monahan $5.29m x 5 years
Duchene $4.81m x 3 years</div></div>

These seem like slight underpays, but the ratios are all accurate imo. The most appealing to me here is probably Stamkos. But Lindholm for 5 years I'd do, it's the 6-7 years that make it tricky for me. I just don't want to see the prime of mcavoy/pasta wasted because they don't have centers.