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CaseyFlyman
Member Since
Sep. 7, 2018
Favourite Team
Columbus Blue Jackets
2nd Favourite Team
Boston Bruins
Forum Posts
2231
Posts per Day
1.1
POSTS
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ARMCHAIR-GM TEAMS
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 1:54 p.m.
Thread:
Marner
I wouldn't even move one of 4OA or Jiricek for Marner, let alone both.
The fact that you've got Laine at 1C and Fantilli on the 3rd line, though, should tell you something...stick to the Leafs OP.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 1:05 p.m.
Thread:
Moving on from the core 4
That's a big 'ole nothingburger for the majority of Columbus' leadership group. Hard pass from Columbus. Jenner is untouchable, and Gudbranson has more value internally as a leader on the 3rd pair than actual trade value. Both are going nowhere.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 10:33 a.m.
Thread:
An Outsiders Vision - CBJ
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SupremeBone</b></div><div>Okay, thanks for the input! I decided to keep Merzi because I figured there wasn't a huge press to solve the problem this year and, since I don't really see a great candidate to swap with (apart from maybe Husso in Detroit), I figured it wise to leave it until next year. I feel similarly about Laine.
As for the Marchinny contracts, I can see what you mean, but I think they're well positioned to gamble a bit on Chinakhov. If you were to adjust them, would you think something like 4 * 3 for Chinakhov and 5.5 * 5 for Marchenko? Or would your aim to go long-term for Marchenko even if it costs upwards of 7mil?</div></div>
I think Merzlikins' relationship with the team is too far deteriorated to keep him around next year, but if there's no trade partner, he's a prime buyout candidate. It's more a pressing need in my eyes than most, probably.
I'd absolutely lock up Marchenko for a 6x$7M if that's what it took, he should absolutely grow into that and could become a 40-goal scorer. Chinakhov needs more regular playing time in the top-6 before we do anything more than a bridge.
Overall, I think you've done some tidy work, the values look pretty good and the lines look realistic (though I'd also swap Silly and Jenner, as well as Jiricek and Severson for now).
As for Laine: he probably gets a chance to rebound next season with Columbus, and could be traded if he starts to look like the player he has been with us (nearly ppg). If he is traded this season, though, I'd imagine it's for a decent package (like 2nd, 3rd, plus good prospect) with some heavy conditions on picks that could upgrade it to an elite package (like upgrading to a 1st if he plays 40 games, 3rd to a 2nd if he scores 20 goals, etc). Something that puts most of the risk on the acquiring team, since we don't have any pressure to move him.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 10:25 a.m.
Thread:
hronek marner johnson
If the goal is to give up Johnson to get Marner, Columbus would just orchestrate that trade directly with Toronto. Johnson would be a direct Marner replacement in terms of role, that just makes sense.
I'd be opposed to CBJ trading for Hronek and keeping him, too. I've said it elsewhere: his value is highly inflated by playing with the league's best D-man IMO, and I don't want to be the team to overpay for that.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 10:21 a.m.
Thread:
Rossi Just Cause
I'm under the impression the WIld only want to move Rossi if it's for a roster player upgrade of similar potential/caliber. The Wild probably say no. I don't know what Detroit would have to offer, but I imagine this year's first is the starting point, and then Minnesota uses that to swing another trade for an upgrade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 10:18 a.m.
Thread:
TBL offseason moves v7
I have to agree with <a href="/users/CertifiedAverage" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@CertifiedAverage</a>, this feels like a TDL move for both Columbus and Tampa, but I do like it for both teams.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Tue. at 10:14 a.m.
Thread:
ok trade time
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>I think they are more likely to find a partner for a retained Rakell than a retained Elvis. </div></div>
This is my thought process as well. If Pittsburgh is willing to throw in ~4th due to the longer contract, letting Rakell be a 3rd or 4th line mentor for a couple years and then flipping him retained for whatever could work. I don't think having Elvis on the roster next year is healthy, he needs a fresh start more than anything, so if this is the best option presented, I wouldn't hate it.
Definitely not the big, sexy offseason move though haha
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 10:43 p.m.
Thread:
CBJ Marner
Because you asked nicely: there's a couple of pieces Columbus wouldn't trade under any circumstances for Marner, because of team/positional need and the fact that Marner (though great) is kind of redundant positionally with Gaudreau and fiscally irresponsible with Laine here. Fantilli, Werenski, Jiricek, 4OA, and Jenner are all off the table based on how important they are for the team. And frankly, we don't want/need Marner badly enough to part with any of them at this time.
If there's a Marner trade that could be worked out without involving any of those pieces, great, I'd suggest something like this: <a href="https://www.capfriendly.com/forums/thread/833361">ACGM I did a couple days ago</a>
If not...Toronto is better off sending him elsewhere, thanks but no thanks.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 10:37 p.m.
Thread:
Chaos
It's a bold strategy, Cotton. Let's see if it pays off for 'em.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 10:36 p.m.
Thread:
Possibly
<em>Add Kampf then it's even</em>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 9:09 p.m.
Thread:
do it
Well...we found a rare Toronto optimist?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 9:08 p.m.
Thread:
ok trade time
Columbus...might? If it's that or a buyout, I'd consider a 1-for-1 with Rakell/Elvis. It's solving one problem while creating another (we already have too many forwards), but might as well try it? The buyout isn't that much different next year vs. Elvis this year.
I think you'd have to entice us with a pick given the deal is longer, but it wouldn't be anything egregious.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 7:43 p.m.
Thread:
Mitchectomy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BoomerTheHero</b></div><div>The jackets have no want or need for Kampf. We wouldnt take him for free, i would be surprised if any team would give up anything for him.</div></div>
I wouldn't even take him for free, unless we decide to move on from Kuraly in the offseason and that LDBB isn't ready. He's an expensive defensive 4C with term who's not all that great at the whole defensive part of the game anymore.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 7:41 p.m.
Thread:
The perfect offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HShockey</b></div><div>Jarnkrok isn't a cap dump, Kampf you could argue. The Leafs could definetly get a 2nd/3rd for a versatile, 10-15 goal scorer at 2.1. Kampf doesn't have much value, but the Pens need a 4C and Dubas loves his old players</div></div>
Jarnkrok isn't a cap dump, Kampf is but he's not an expensive one to move. He just doesn't bring enough to a team to warrant the cap hit (unlike Jarnkrok), and the only spot he might be useful in at this point is 4C. Jarnkrok probably fetches a 3rd or 4th from a contender (a la Roslovic last TDL), and Kampf probably costs a 6th or 7th to dump.
And FWIW, Provorov half-retained is probably worth a late 1st/early 2nd. He's a well-rounded, reliable 2nd-pair D-man who's just not a great fit in Columbus and not part of the future plans. If that's the basis for the deal, I'd prefer Provorov and a 4th (maybe a 3rd if the market is light) for the TOR 1st, which <em>should </em>be very late.
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
Mon. at 11:48 a.m.
Thread:
Tavares Marchessault
I don't know why Toronto would entertain that. They give away a useful player, get essentially two 4th-liners that won't really contribute, and get very little cap relief in the process? And then get utterly f*** next year with the additional $9M+ they wouldn't have had if they just kept Tavares?
Hell, Columbus would just take Tavares for free, no retention, and I imagine that's a more attractive offer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 1:44 a.m.
Thread:
Marner to CBJ
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>FarhanLuigi</b></div><div>Sillinger is a 3rd liner at best. Greaves is a goalie and Jiricek is the only worthwhile prospect but not close to the value of the best goal scorer in the league. Try again.
Not enough for Marner. Columbus toxic org and their fans already tried and failed an offer sheet. Doubt Mitch wants to go to another loser franchise.
The funniest part is giving a career high 30 point player term 5M AAV LMAO</div></div>
Is this your bit? Gaslight opposing fans and disparage the franchise and city? It's every ACGM I've ever seen you comment on. It's pathetic. Do literally anything else with your life.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Jacketsman61</b></div><div>This just shows you how much you understand about the Jackets. The last thing the Jackets need to do is move a potential 2C in a package that includes our potential cornerstone RD for a player like Marner, while he is good, is not any better than what we already have with Laine. We also have Gaudreau, Chinakhov, Johnson, and Marchenko on the wings. Marner makes no sense.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dk325</b></div><div>Yeah, all those idiot Jackets fans should be thrilled at the idea of watching their prospect pool get gutted for the Leafs' castaways. Why should they want to watch the Jackets try to develop a roster through drafting like almost every other team around the league does? Know your place and cheer for the Jackets to trade the young players you're excited for so they can miss the playoffs while also having no future.</div></div>
Don't waste your time, add to the ignore list and move on.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 1:41 a.m.
Thread:
Lets Do A Massive Retool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Viqsi</b></div><div>Y'all are new to this, so I'm not going to assume you've heard it before like the Leafs and Sabres fans should have. But Boone is simply not available. This has been confirmed and reiterated by CBJ fans, beat writers, pundits, front office personnel, the ownership, and Boone himself. He's in "don't even bother asking" territory. Hell, a fair portion of the fanbase is convinced Kekalainen got fired because of fears he'd trade Boone - I'm not buying it 'cause Kekalainen was also adamant about not moving him, but that's a nice illustration of just how "do not even bother considering" he is.</div></div>
FWIW, it's actually not a bad offer for Jenner.
But "decent offer for Jenner the player" doesn't sniff "actual offer to make Jenner available" territory. He's untouchable.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 1:35 a.m.
Thread:
The best tml
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Viqsi</b></div><div>Honestly, I wouldn't even accept that. Leaves us with a severe leadership vacuum for very little benefit.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Friendly_Cannon</b></div><div>Fair just wanted to be realistic about what an acquisition Cost may look like. He’s dope and adds some leadership but he has his shortcomings tbh. And the owner needs to see that.</div></div>
Coutneroffer: Jenner for Minten, 2024 TOR 1st, and Tavares. Fill the leadership gap, get the desired return, and after July 1st Tavares makes a whopping $910K. Everyone wins, including ownership.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 1:30 a.m.
Thread:
The trade is one for one
Werenski says no. He's got a full NMC, <em>and why would anyone waive for Toronto? </em>
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Mon. at 1:24 a.m.
Thread:
Taking next step
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Dan_the_Man</b></div><div>Retain 1/2 TB does that. Otherwise easy pass</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hawksguy81</b></div><div>Tampa Bay declines. Can't afford that cap hit.</div></div>
Retaining half on Provorov is a foregone conclusion in my mind. Columbus absolutely will retain, the return doesn't need to change here.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 3:25 p.m.
Thread:
Taking next step
I'd be stoked about landing Levshunov, Reinhart, and Rossi. But the changes I'd make:
1) Chinakhov + Jenner > Rossi + Gustavsson, so the picks are a nonstarter, and may need to flip sides to make the currently-unavailable Jenner available.
2) If you're adding Gustavsson, an Elvis buyout or trade would be necessary. He's not necessarily better than Gus or Tarasov, but he's definitely not playing 3rd-fiddle.
3) You should absolutely re-sign Texier, just throw him on the 4th line instead of TFW.
Overall, I'm not a fan of the leadership vacuum, but this team is definitely better than last year's IMO.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 3:17 p.m.
Thread:
Columbus fans whats the move
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sharcuda22</b></div><div>True true, i just thought it was something fun to explore considering the next best thing for the sharks would be to draft his brother. Even in this draft i don’t t know id trade 2 overall for Jiricek. I also wouldnt sleep on Parekh or Buium, although Jiricek obviously has a much much higher floor.</div></div>
Parekh or Buium, or even Silayev, might be on the same level in terms of ceiling. The reason I didn't include them is playstyle and handedness. We're set to have at least 2 offensive-minded, playmaking D-men for a long time with Werenski and Mateychuk, and possibly a 3rd if you include Boqvist.
Drafting undersized offensive D-men that would be the 3rd option on the powerplay and possibly on the left side (Parekh, Buium), or just forcing someone to play on the off-side (Silayev) isn't really a Jiricek replacement. It's not a reason to not draft those people if they're BPA at 4OA, but it is absolutely a reason to hang onto your currently-irreplaceable prospect.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 1:48 p.m.
Thread:
Columbus fans whats the move
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sharcuda22</b></div><div>The Jiricek interviews from earlier in the year that caused a small uproar. He was frustrated (i think justifiably given Columbus’ defense) about not getting the same opportunities as other high end d prospects like Korchinski. There was a lot of a certain type of hockey fan that was essentially telling Jiricek he needs to put his head down shut up and play. From the outside looking in it appeared to have some discord between staff and Jiricek. Like i said in the description though with new management i feel he will stay.</div></div>
This is pretty much nail on the head for the situation: he was justifiably frustrated, management has changed, and he both got NHL playing time regularly at the end of the season and has gone back to tearing up the AHL in the playoffs. I doubt he'd still want out under new management.
This:
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>alwaysnextyear</b></div><div>If CBJ were to move him I'd have to think it would be a 1-for-1 swap of a comparable prospect that's ready to crack an NHL roster.</div></div>
And this:
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RecycleShark</b></div><div>He's probably their best prospect. When I proposed a Jiricek to the Sharks trade on ACGM, a CBJ fan said they wanted Will Smith for Jiricek. Sound about right?</div></div>
Are both correct. He was #6 on Elite Prospect's <a href="https://www.eliteprospects.com/ranking-portal/aba2205d-8abc-4280-9a13-84d79feec324/top-100-prospects-in-the-nhl" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Top 100 NHL-Affiliated Prospects</a> at the start of the year, and sure it was a bumpy sophomore slump at times, but there's no reason to think he's not at least still top-20. And given this year's draft class...he may still be a top-20 NHL-affiliated prospect going into next year.
The biggest thing, though, is positional need for Columbus. We have the star center prospect (Fantilli), the middle-6 center prospects (Voronkov, Sillinger) the excellent wing prospects (Johnson, Marchenko), and the strong LD prospect (Mateychuk), and even a couple of starting goalie prospects (Graves, Tarasov, Ivanov). The only RD in the system that looks to have an NHL ceiling is Jiricek, as Ceulemans has been struggling and there's not much beyond that.
So, if we're moving Jiricek...it has to be a similar-ceiling, young, right-shot D-man coming back, or it doesn't make sense. Honestly, <strong>I'd only entertain moving him if we land Levshunov, or are trading him straight-up for the 2nd overall pick to get Levshunov</strong>. He's the only right-shot D in this draft with Jiricek's ceiling.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 1:37 p.m.
Thread:
Panthas
At TDL if we're not in the race? Sure, that works for Columbus. But I'm fairly confident he'll start the season with the team.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
Sun. at 1:35 p.m.
Thread:
Leafs 24-25 - tougher and younger
Jenner is untouchable. That's a sad offer if he was available.
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