Quoting: BruinsWoahWoah
Teams that could/should be in the goaltender market: Chicago, Colorado, Columbus, Detroit, Edmonton, LAK, Montreal, New Jersey, Ottawa, Pitt, Philly, San Jose, Toronto, and Utah. Some of those teams like Pitt/Columbus/Ottawa probably won't be aggressive in adding a goalie given their cap situation/goalie contracts on the roster. I don't think Boston would trade Ullmark to Toronto unless its a massive overpay.
Colorado, Detroit, Edmonton, LAK, and New Jersey will probably be the most aggressive because they are good teams that could be contenders but are held back by their goaltending situations. LAK has $19M+ in cap space and some middle 6 forwards to sign. They can afford Ullmark without shedding PLD. I don't think Boston would care much about 2024 1st vs 2025 1st. We'll see but I think some team will give them a 1st and possibly a mid-round pick for Ullmark.
1st and 3rd seems to be the historical comp for a Vezina caliber goalie
Let’s put all these teams into categories.
Teams that should not spend futures to acquire a goaltender on an expiring contract: Montreal, Ottawa, San Jose, Columbus, Chicago
Teams with two goaltenders under contract for next season that don’t need to pay a first round pick for an upgrade: Utah, Philadelphia, Detroit
Teams in complete salary distress that can’t do it: Pittsburgh, Los Angeles, Detroit (has to sign Lucas Raymond and Moritz Seider to contracts)
This leaves Toronto (who Boston won’t trade with), Colorado, New Jersey and Edmonton. New Jersey has the most draft capital out of all those teams. All of those other teams have minimal draft assets after several years of trading away draft picks at the trade deadline. The only bids NJD has to beat are those from other teams that have a recent history of trading away draft picks.