Edited May 17 at 11:37 a.m.
Quoting: Boltsbeathabs
My opinion as that's what it is I'd put him about 15-20 range
Okay.
My take is that goaltenders generally speaking aren't getting paid like forwards, and defenseman aren't typically getting paid a ton either unless they produce offense. Most of the guys you are probably putting ahead of him are the remaining top Cs (Crosby, Barkov, etc,,,), and maybe Tkachuk and Kaprizov from the wingers that produced less, Makar on defense. So, even if you don't think he's a top 9 player, he is a top-9 producer and since what gets a player paid is offense, I wouldn't say he's not worth his cap hit.
In the 5, seasons since he signed his contract, he's 8th in points per game (Rantanen is 9th), and in the last 3 years he's tied for 7th with 2 other guys (Pastrnak and Rantanen). Right behind them are Tkachuk and Kaprisov. The only guys that have lower AAVs now than him are Tkachuk, Kucherov, Draisaitl, and Rantanen, and Kaprisov. The latter three will all get 11M+ more than likely, and Marner will get a big pay raise himself as well, but at 10.9M he's lived up to the cap hit. I doubt he'll live up to his next contract though but it is what it is.
I would say that in the last 3-years, Rantanen, Pastrnak, Marner, Tkachuk, and Kaprisov are all pretty close as players, they all just bring a different things to the table. Could probably lump in Panarin with them but he's at 1.29 vs Tkachuk and Kaprisov's 1.25, the other three are at 1.27.