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Jacketsman61

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May 15, 2016
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Forum: Armchair-GM20 hours ago
Thread: Very Nasty if they get Cayden Lindstrom
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CaseyFlyman</b></div><div>Tarasov probably doesn't quite get that much, but I hope he proves that he deserves it! Marchenko and Sillinger I'd both try to sign longer-term ASAP, they both may get more.

But yeah, D-core is exactly what I'd have in mind. Elvis is probably bought out so that's either Greaves or a UFA/stopgap guy. Hopefully Brindley proves he's a good 2nd liner by 2025-26, and Johnson keeps developing into that role too.

Swap Jenner and Sillinger, make the 4th line Malatesta - LDBB - Voronkov, throw Chinakhov where Dumais is, and give Dumais a couple of years in the AHL and it's literally my ideal 2025-26 lineup.

Really feels like Laine, Provorov, Boqvist, Olivier, Kuraly, Danforth, Texier, and Nylander all may not have a long-term future here.</div></div>

I would slightly disagree. Olivier has shown this year he does have the ability to create some offense. He needs to work on that more but his physical game is just perfect for this team. Texier with Silly and Nylander has been a great 3rd line. I agree with Danforth, Kuraly, and Laine.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 1:39 p.m.
Thread: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>First, I used your numbers - you were the one that suggested a $2.5M raise for both McDavid and Draisaitl. Here:
Second, all NHL contracts are paid in US dollars, so the Canadian dollar is not any issue whatsoever.

Third, Draisaitl didn't sign "at a steal", he got paid MORE than his closest comp (Pastrnak) at the time. It only appears to be a steal because he developed into the second best player in the world after he signed that deal.

Fourth, McDavid took less money on his last contract as a favor to the team. I fully expect him to take less than he would get on the open market again.

Fifth, the Oilers have won in the playoffs, they went to the division finals last year and the Conference finals the year before, both times losing only to the eventual Stanley Cup champions. The Knights openly said last year that the Oilers were their toughest opponent. And they only beat them by illegally axe chopping Draisaitl's arm.</div></div>

I know that but Canada has higher tax. That matters. I said 11+ mil that means this is on the low end. One could think with the cap going up, most players are now going to start moving towards FA again. The reason FA has been lackluster the past few years is bc of the flat cap. That is going to change. McDavid did them a solid and has got nothing to show for it. Do you think he really is just going to do it again? Draisaitl knows his value. Edm cannot go into this season without Draisaitl under contract.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 11:20 a.m.
Thread: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CaseyFlyman</b></div><div>Disregarding the trades (which we all have thoughts on), and looking only at the team:
1. The center depth is insanely good.
2. The goalie tandem is just fine.
3. That's it.

The left wings are a 30 year old who hasn't regained his form, two centers, and a replacement-level 20-year-old. The right side is a 2nd-line scoring winger, a transition guy, an undersized forward with one game of experience, and an enforcer. Boqvist is your top-pair RD, and he's only good for about 50 games a year right now. Mateychuk hasn't played an NHL game.

Even in the "cards all in, let's be good now" scenario we're still relying on a new goaltender to our system, a JG resurgence, the quick development of half the roster to reach their potential immediately, and a D-core that might actually be bottom-10 in the league.

I get the desire to be competitive, and I get the creativity, but I think this mostly proves that the <em><strong>only </strong></em>option is to make small moves, tinker with the non-core players, and just wait for the actual young core to fully develop. 2025-26 is the year to start pushing, at the earliest.</div></div>

Really Mateychuk probably starts in Cleveland. Blankenburg would be perfectly suited to fit the role until he is ready we just as easily not do the SJ trade keep the pick get a top RD and develop them. The two best years in our franchise was when we had Bread. We need another guy like that. Fantilli maybe eventually but he isn’t there yet and we would be foolish not to take advantage of Gaudreau. Gaudreau needs an elite C to be truly effective.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 11:14 a.m.
Thread: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>This is all BS. Edmonton has the cap space to re-sign both, considering Draisaitl's new contract won't kick in until the 25-26 season and McDavid's until the 26-27 season.

They have money coming off the books every summer and the cap appears to be rising every year. And if that's not enough, they would trade any other player to make room for Draisaitl and McDavid before trading either Draisaitl or McDavid.

The ONLY scenario either gets traded is if he doesn't want to sign in Edmonton. Then he'll be traded with 1 year left on his deal to a team he's willing to sign with.</div></div>

The math doesn’t work out. Edm while talented has not been able to win in the playoffs. The depth is not there. Teams that win cups have depth. Edm doesn’t have it. And you think McDavid is only getting a 2 mil raise?? Get real. This guy knows his value and teams will be lining up to sign him. Same thing for Draisaitl. The Canadian dollar is a huge issue here. He is likely signing his last big contract. He will want to make his money considering he signed at a steal for Edm on this last contract.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 5:41 a.m.
Thread: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CertifiedAverage</b></div><div>If I recall correctly, the top 10 is really good, while the late 1st round is a step down and not all that different from the 2nd round. So I would be keen to keep that top 6 pick and not be very interested in trading down to a 13th or 14th. At this stage, I would rather see them just sign a player like Brenden Dillon, keep the top pick and try to sell Provorov at 50 % retained for another 1st.

I agree that the CBJ need to use some combination of our good prospects to get a fantastic player to take the next step. If Draisaitl decides to leave Edmonton, I wouldn't be surpried if he ends up a UFA though. The Blue Jackets would then be in a position to give him a really good offer. As I said, they are one of the few teams that can give him a high salary (in combination with lower taxes). In parallel with that, you can trade some of the prospects to strengthen the top 6, which would give Columbus Draisaitl and another top player. A sign-and-trade situation might be on the cards in the 2025 off-season and if so then yes, Columbus should be heavily involved. But even then, it will be a few teams involved and Draisaitl decides where he gets to go, so his salary will still be high. In the ACGM scenario, Edmonton have no incentive to move him and thus need a very strong offer. It's a pipe dream anyway. I assume he will re-sign in Edmonton.

Next year is a development step for the players and the season in which the GM starts to discern what players he wants to build around, in my opinion. Selling the sun and the mopn looking to compete next year already might have long-term negative consequences.</div></div>

There is no money in Edm. That is clear. McDavid comes up for contract the summer after that. Do you really think Edm can pay Draisaitl around 11+ mil and give a hefty increase to McDavid, who on the open market, could garner at least 15 to 16 mil per? Not going to happen. RNH has a NMC so they can’t move him either. They are already lacking on defense and goaltending. They can’t justify spending more to retain Draisaitl while ignoring the real problems or otherwise McDavid will walk.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 4:17 a.m.
Thread: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CertifiedAverage</b></div><div>1. If the Blue Jackets want Draisaitl, they should aim to sign him as a UFA and not give away their entire future for him. They can afford paying him even up to $14 M if they want to.

2. I love Ferraro, but he is not worth that much.

3. The Bruins will not do that and will get much better offers from NJD, OTT and LAK, to name a few.</div></div>

The ranges in this draft are very interesting. There are going to be some players that are going to fall and moving down to improve the D is not a terrible idea. This is an aggressive move to try and make this team competitive. SJ has no reason to move Ferraro so the Jackets have to give them a reason to. The Jackets are a team that doesn’t need to get involved in FA bidding wars. They are better to move assets to bring him in now. We have a lot of players we need to find space for and this would help while giving us a legit 1-2 punch down the middle. Fantilli is great but he is not ready to carry the team. We need Draisaitl to be a player who can instantly make Gaudreau a factor again.
Forum: Armchair-GMYesterday at 4:10 a.m.
Thread: Time to Make It Happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NucksnOilers</b></div><div>1. Edmonton isn't trading Drai whatsoever
2. Starts with Jireck (who is there) + Marchenko (who isn't there). Considering our cap problems, adding an extra 8 million in Laine isn't a good risk for us to take</div></div>

Edm fans need to comprehend that they will not be able to keep Draisaitl long term. The math is not there. McDavid is up for contract in two years and they can’t even re-sign him until after the sign Draisaitl. By going into next season with Draisaitl you run the risk of losing him for nothing and his trade value goes down. Edm is almost in the 75% range of trade him and we haven’t even seen the playoffs yet. That trade for him is insane value. McDavid could be set up with a deep team for years from this deal. I am sorry but Edm absolutely does not turn that down…
Forum: Armchair-GMMon. at 5:38 a.m.
Thread: Keeping Necas-Jarvis-Guentzel Long-Term
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>evelutions2</b></div><div>With Nikishin and Morrow coming into play, the loss of Skjei and Pesce gets mitigated. Having 2 very good top pairings is a luxury, especially when the 3rd pair has been playing like no worse than a 2nd pair for a large portion of the season. Whilst it will hurt to lose them, it won’t hurt as so many people seem to think. Orlov was brought in to replace Skjei, and with Chatfield surpassing many expectations, Pesce becomes a little more expendable.

As for your proposal, Canes would not consider that. No need for a LHD unless they are a stopgap for Nikishin, at which point a 3LD can be signed for cheap, acquired via trade for cheap, or Smith/Fensore can be brought up for that role. Boqvist isn’t all that interesting, and Dumais plus a 3rd isn’t enough to get Necas.</div></div>

Do you truly think those two are just going to step in and be able to handle that role? Defense is difficult to break into the league. College is a good place to develop but the league is a lot faster. It takes time to be able to adjust.
Forum: Armchair-GMMon. at 5:24 a.m.
Thread: Would Ottawa do it
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Indy</b></div><div>Honestly...flipping the board is highly doubtful. Columbus survives by the gate and I am sure ownership group would rather have a competitive, even if its not cup worthy team, than waste another 3-4 years rebuilding off a rebuild similar to what Buffalo just did (and likewise getting killed by the gate). STH retention is being saved by outdoor game this year but during the 25-26 season if we don't start winning there might be a drop off of that all important full price STH cash. No...if anything they will press to have a competent team in the next year or two that would sneak into a wildcard than go through what Buffalo has been doing.

Likewise though I don't see a new GM flipping the board because (how I see it) we hold 4 of the 5 "keys" to win the cup (we are missing that strong 2C which is why if we get Celebrini that's gonna be MASSIVE). The issue really is we have some redundancy in player roles and we just need to let the kids cook. People forget that most players who can immediately impact the NFL are 22-23 years old when they are drafted...here most of our premium players can't even drink (and have many calling them a bust because they are boys against men)</div></div>

The argument against this is that the CBJ have an already deep prospect pool but may be 2 yrs of a rebuild could pay dividends and allow this team to be restructured in a way that would allow us to sustain a long cup run window.